PasseThe fired level is the developing dPOC at $79,028.5 — mid-range fair value on a brand-new day whose profile is ten minutes old (11 BTC of volume), and the method explicitly says not to open new trades at the POC. The only "trigger" is a 5-minute wick-and-close, not a 15-minute close: the last closed 15m (23:45) is an inside candle at $79,059.6 with no rejection of any tradeable level. Price is pinned between VWAP $79,015.5, D-Open $79,059.6 and dPOC $79,028.5 with flat 5m delta and CVD showing bullish divergence against a slightly bearish tape — no trigger, no location, conflicting corroboration.Voir la thèse →
08 sept. 2026, 00:10 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5-minute close below the developing VAH ($79,059.0), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the most recent CLOSED 15-minute candle (2026-09-07 23:45) closed at $79,059.6, right AT the dVAH/day-open, with no close through or rejection of any level. Price is sitting on top of VWAP $79,024.7 / dPOC $79,028.5 in the dead middle of a 100-dollar developing value area — POC chop, the no-trade zone — with no established trend on 15m (choppy sideways since 23:00) and conflicting flow (4h CVD bullish divergence vs 5m bearish delta divergence). No confirming 15-minute trigger = pass.Voir la thèse →
08 sept. 2026, 00:05 UTC
PasseThe fired level is the D-Open at $79,059.6, but price is simply sitting on it at the very start of a fresh day with no trigger: the last closed 15m (23:45) is a tiny doji-like candle right at the open, not a close through or a rejection at any level, and no 15m with-trend or reclaim close has printed. Price is also mid-range between pdVAL/pdL ($78,831/$78,627) below and pdPOC/D-nPOC ($79,629.5) above — the poor-location middle of value the method says not to trade — and signals conflict (bullish CVD divergence and Greed 71 against a lower-high daily downtick, CCV not in play). No trigger, no location edge: pass.Voir la thèse →
08 sept. 2026, 00:00 UTC
PasseThe 22:30 15m candle did close through dVAL $78,909 (a valid Tier-2 break trigger, with CCV short bias and CVD confirming_down corroborating), but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — the entry is the retest, and price at $78,785.8 is sitting near the low of the thrust, not back at $78,909. Additionally the 5m delta is a bullish divergence (+6.6 BTC over 30m) against the new low and OI is flat, a poor reaction that argues against chasing this breakdown here; the developing day low $78,627 and M-Open $78,511.5 sit immediately beneath as support, so shorting into them from here is fading into a level, not open space.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 22:45 UTC
PasseThe only fired event is a 5m wick-and-reclaim of pdL $79,161.0 — a bullish SFP, and STATE already has an open long on this book, so a same-direction long cannot be recorded and only a short is permitted. There is no short trigger: no 15-minute candle has closed rejecting or breaking any level (last closed 15m 21:15 is a 15-dollar-range doji sitting on the 5m POC in dead, sub-1 BTC volume), and the tape is flat/coiled above the day low with a flat delta (-12.3 BTC/30m) — poor reaction quality. Shorting here would also mean fading momentum into pdL/dLow support, which the method forbids.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 21:30 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5m close below pdL $79,161 — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (20:30, C $79,146.5) is a 2-tick doji on 3.4 BTC of volume, not a confirming close through or rejection at the level. Reaction quality is poor: near-zero volume into the level, Delta 5m flat (+1.2 BTC), 4h CVD still confirming_up and OI rising — flow does not corroborate a short here, and price is sitting mid-way between dVAL $78,909 and VWAP $79,516.9 rather than at a clean edge. No trigger, no corroboration: pass.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 20:45 UTC
PasseThe sweep-reclaim of dVAL $78,943 is real on the 5m (15:15 wick to $78,783.5, close back above at $79,080) but the named trigger must be a 15-minute close: the most recent CLOSED 15m candle (15:00) closed at $79,000 — below the dVAL, i.e. no 15m reclaim close has printed; the 15:15–15:30 15m candle is still FORMING. Corroboration is also mixed against a long: CCV bias is short_bias with acceptance activated, 4h CVD is confirming_down, price is below daily VWAP $79,567.9 and below the day/week open $80,300 with lower highs all session, and 5m delta is flat (+28.7 BTC) — no aggressive response defending the level. Missing trigger plus contradicted directional read: no trade.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 15:20 UTC
PasseThe sweep of pdL $79,161.0 (low $79,144.6, close back above) is only confirmed on a 5m candle — the named trigger must be a 15-minute close, and the 07:15 15m candle closed DOWN at $79,374.8 while the 07:30 15m candle is still FORMING, so no 15m reclaim close back across pdL exists yet. Corroboration also fights the long: CCV bias short with acceptance activated, 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m delta confirming_down (-18 BTC) into the low, price below daily VWAP $79,819.6 and below the day open $80,300 with a 4h close down — an unconfirmed knife-catch at the low is exactly the trade to skip.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 07:35 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5m wick-and-reclaim of pdVAL $79,541, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the last CLOSED 15m candle (04:15 UTC, O 79,635.1 H 79,647.2 L 79,562.5 C 79,571.4) is a down close that neither rejected nor reclaimed the level with any conviction, so no 15m trigger exists. This level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, and corroboration is against a long anyway: CCV short bias activated, CVD confirming_down, price below daily VWAP ($79,945.6) and below the day/week open ($80,300), with 5m delta flat (+13 BTC) showing no buy response at the level. No trigger plus contradicted read — pass.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 04:35 UTC
PasseThe reclaim of pdVAL ($79,541) is only a 5-minute close — the named trigger must be a 15-minute close, and the 15m candle that closed up at 04:00 ($79,635.1) did so with its low at $79,511.3, i.e. the 15m sweep-and-reclaim of pdVAL is itself only just formed while the current 15m candle is still FORMING. Beyond the timeframe issue, corroboration conflicts: CCV bias is short with acceptance activated, 4h CVD is confirming_down, price is below daily VWAP ($79,962) and below the day/week open ($80,300), and the dVAL sits at $79,643 right at price — so a long here is fading a lower-high downtrend into no clear support edge, while a short at this location is entering the flush. Volume into the sweep was thin (~5.6 BTC on the 5m) — a poor reaction — so I decline rather than wait.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 04:15 UTC
PasseNo price action data is available this cycle, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger candle — and the trigger is the mandatory element. Price at $79,524 is sitting just under the developing day low ($79,498) / pdVAL ($79,541) with CVD and 5m delta both confirming down, but a break-and-no-reclaim is not a setup: without a verified 15m close through or rejecting a level, this is a watch, not a trade.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 04:00 UTC
PasseThe pdVAL $79,541 sweep-reclaim is only a 5-minute reclaim close (03:50 5m closed back above at $79,608.1); the named trigger must be a 15-minute close, and the last CLOSED 15m (03:30) closed DOWN at $79,578.1 — below pdVAL — so no confirming 15m reclaim has printed and the current 15m is still forming. Corroboration also argues against the long: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta −10.8 BTC confirming down, CCV bias short with acceptance activated, price below daily VWAP $79,976.9 and below the day/week open $80,300, with dVAL $79,643 overhead. Missing trigger plus contradicted read = pass.Voir la thèse →
07 sept. 2026, 03:55 UTC
PasseThe pdL $79,411.5 sweep-reclaim only has a 5-minute reclaim close (15:00 5m wicked to $79,350.2 and closed $79,486.0) — the named trigger must be a 15m close, and the most recent CLOSED 15m candle (14:45) closed DOWN at $79,498.9 with no reclaim structure, while the 15:00–15:15 15m candle is still FORMING. Corroboration is also mixed: CCV bias is short_bias with price below VWAP/D-Open and 5m delta flat/negative (no delta response at the low), so the reaction quality into the level is poor even before the missing trigger. No confirming 15-minute close = no trade.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 15:05 UTC
PasseNo price action was provided this tick, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute trigger candle at any level — and the TRIGGER FACTS/candle evidence required to confirm a close through or rejection is absent. Price at $79,489 is also in the middle of the day's range, below VWAP ($79,763), dVAL ($79,699) and D-Open ($79,799) but above dLow ($79,161) — open-space chop with no level interaction to trade. Signals also conflict: CCV short bias and confirming-down 5m delta versus a bullish CVD divergence and weakening (falling OI) downtrend.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 15:00 UTC
PasseThe 14:30 15m candle is a flush to a fresh developing day low ($79,161.0) with a close back up — but the swept "level" is a brand-new intraday extreme with no pre-existing structure beneath it, so it fails the sweep-reclaim requirement of an obvious, stop-rich, pre-defined level (pdL sits far above at $79,411.5 and was lost, not reclaimed; price is still below pdVAL/pdPOC/VWAP). Corroboration is also mixed against a long: CCV bias is short with acceptance armed, price is below daily VWAP ($79,767.4), D-Open and the developing VAL, and 5m taker delta is flat-to-negative (-33.8 BTC) with OI bleeding — a short-covering bounce, not demand. No clean level-reaction trigger and no established trend to join, so this is a watch, not a trade.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 14:45 UTC
PasseThe only trigger here is a 5m reclaim of pdPOC ($79,706.5) — the named trigger must be a 15m close, and the most recent closed 15m (14:00 UTC) closed DOWN at $79,709.1 with no reclaim close back above the level, so there is no valid 15m trigger. On top of that, STATE says pd_POC already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh 15m reclaim close before re-engaging; the flush low $79,559.4 also swept nothing pre-existing of note (dLow was $79,539.7, not taken) and 5m delta is flat with OI weakening — a poor reaction. Long here also fights the short_bias CCV and confirming_down CVD.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 14:20 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 1-minute wick-and-reclaim of pdPOC $79,706.5, but a 1m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the 14:00 15m candle CLOSED DOWN at $79,709.1 (a close through/at the level, not a rejection of it), so no 15-minute level-reaction trigger exists. Structure is also unsupportive of a long: price is below daily VWAP $79,838.2, below dVAL $79,783.0 and D-Open $79,799.5, CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is flat (no response at the level), and CCV bias is short_bias — a poor, low-volume reaction into the level. No confirmed trigger plus contradicting flow means pass.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 14:15 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5-minute close below pdEQ ($79,788.8) — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger, and the most recent CLOSED 15m candle (13:45 UTC, O $79,756.7 C $79,783.9) closed UP and back at the level, not through it, so there is no confirming 15-minute trigger. Structure is a tight $79,540–$80,082 chop between dVAL/pdEQ/VWAP with dPOC and VWAP just overhead — mid-range, no trend to join and no clean level reaction. This level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I would demand a fresh 15m trigger regardless; flow is flat (Delta 5m +5.3 BTC, OI drifting on short-covering), which is a poor reaction, not a setup.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 14:10 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5m wick-and-close-below pdEQ ($79,788.8), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:45 UTC) closed UP at $79,783.9 with a lower wick to $79,724.5, i.e. it rejected the downside, not the level; there is no 15m close through or rejecting pdEQ/pdVAH. Price is pinned between dVAL $79,785.0, D-Open $79,799.5, pdEQ $79,788.8 and VWAP $79,839.7 in a ~$250 chop with dying volume (dailyvol 313 BTC), flat 5m delta (+3.4 BTC) and only a weakly declining OI — a poor reaction, no trend to join, and no trigger. Missing element: the confirming 15-minute close.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 14:00 UTC
PasseThe gate fired on a 5m candle only — the last CLOSED 15m candle (13:30 UTC, O 79,744.1 H 79,820.0 L 79,723.9 C 79,756.7) closed UP and sits inside the dVAL/pdVAH cluster, so there is no 15m close through or rejection of dVAL ($79,787) to name as a trigger. Price is also mid-structure between dVAL/pdVAH ($79,749–79,787), VWAP ($79,841.5) and dPOC ($79,869.5) — the middle of a very tight ~$550 day range on tiny volume, which is exactly the POC-chop no-trade zone. Volume and delta at the level are negligible (a few BTC per candle), a poor reaction, so there is no confirmed trigger and no clean location.Voir la thèse →
06 sept. 2026, 13:45 UTC