Thèse Long
L'appel
Le runner n'a pas d'objectif fixe — il suit un stop qui s'ajuste à la structure du marché.
Résultat
Dimensionné sur
Graphique des prix
Raisonnement
Structure: pmVAH $77,682 (settled Tier-1 monthly value-area high) is the higher-tier location in play, sitting right on the developing dVAH $77,651 — price is reclaiming monthly value from below. Trigger: the 15m candle that closed 07:45 UTC (O 77,709.8 H 77,753.2 L 77,640.9 C 77,728.9) wicked BELOW pmVAH/dVAH and CLOSED back above both — a rejection-at-the-level shape entered at the close, with the wick low 77,640.9 defining invalidation; the same candle's poke above dHigh 77,753.2 is a minor dev-high skim, not a failed auction, since it spent no time above and closed strong. Corroboration: CCV not in play, 4h CVD confirming_up (+104 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+9.2), OI healthy_uptrend +1.97% on 4h with benign funding (+0.0095%), price above daily VWAP 77,253 and above D-Open/W-Open — all aligned long; 1m/5m structure is higher highs and higher lows. Entry at 77,713 just above the reclaim close, stop 77,480 gives ~0.2% room beneath the 77,640.9 wick and the 07:00 15m body; T1 78,120 is the open-space swing/mid gap toward the naked POC, T2 78,454.5 is the D-nPOC above (untested magnet, first touch), T3 78,838 is pwVAH. R:R entry→T2 = 741 / 233 ≈ 3.2:1, clearing the 2:1 floor.
Engagé sur l'instantané de marché du 18 sept. 2026 · 07:45 UTC