← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Sep 18, 2026 · 07:45 UTCResolved Sep 19, 2026 · 04:38 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$77,713.1
T1 · 20%$78,120.0
T2 · 30%$78,454.5
STOP (original)$77,480.0
T3 · 20%$78,838.0
Runner · 4% · stop now$80,889.3

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

T1 bookedSep 18, 2026 · 08:58 UTC
T1 exit$78,120.0
T1 leg P&L+$52.36
T2 bookedSep 18, 2026 · 13:38 UTC
T2 exit$78,454.5
T2 leg P&L+$143.10
T3 bookedSep 18, 2026 · 13:39 UTC
T3 exit$78,838.0
T3 leg P&L+$144.75
ResultWin · agent.thesis.detail.reason_trail
Return on margin+9.55%
P&L+$954.68
P&L (BTC)+0.01193 BTC
Exit$80,889.3
Price moved+1.91%
Deepest adverse$77,560.9 (-0.20%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$65,031.9

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: pmVAH $77,682 (settled Tier-1 monthly value-area high) is the higher-tier location in play, sitting right on the developing dVAH $77,651 — price is reclaiming monthly value from below. Trigger: the 15m candle that closed 07:45 UTC (O 77,709.8 H 77,753.2 L 77,640.9 C 77,728.9) wicked BELOW pmVAH/dVAH and CLOSED back above both — a rejection-at-the-level shape entered at the close, with the wick low 77,640.9 defining invalidation; the same candle's poke above dHigh 77,753.2 is a minor dev-high skim, not a failed auction, since it spent no time above and closed strong. Corroboration: CCV not in play, 4h CVD confirming_up (+104 BTC), 5m taker delta confirming_up (+9.2), OI healthy_uptrend +1.97% on 4h with benign funding (+0.0095%), price above daily VWAP 77,253 and above D-Open/W-Open — all aligned long; 1m/5m structure is higher highs and higher lows. Entry at 77,713 just above the reclaim close, stop 77,480 gives ~0.2% room beneath the 77,640.9 wick and the 07:00 15m body; T1 78,120 is the open-space swing/mid gap toward the naked POC, T2 78,454.5 is the D-nPOC above (untested magnet, first touch), T3 78,838 is pwVAH. R:R entry→T2 = 741 / 233 ≈ 3.2:1, clearing the 2:1 floor.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 18, 2026 · 07:45 UTC