PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this day book (last three outcomes L·L·L) — after three consecutive losses the mandate is to pass this tick regardless of setup. Separately, the "trigger" is a developing-day POC reclaim on a near-microscopic-volume, sideways midnight tape (dPOC $66,026.5 / pdVAH $66,058 both essentially at price), with a bearish 5m delta divergence contradicting the up-close — a poor-reaction, low-conviction location even before the loss-streak veto. No trade.View thesis →
Jul 23, 2026, 00:15 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book with the last three outcomes all L — the rule mandates passing this tick regardless of setup after three consecutive losses. Independent of that hard stop, the fired level (dPOC $66,026.5) is a tier-two developing POC — fair value in the dead middle of the day range, the exact mid-range location the method tells you not to trade — and the only trigger is a 5m close, not a named 15m close. Poor reaction, thin volume (38 BTC), and Delta 5m showing a bearish divergence into the up-close all argue against a long here.View thesis →
Jul 23, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book — after three the rule is to pass this tick regardless of setup. Beyond that, the fired level (developing dPOC at $65,897.5) is fair value in the middle of the developing day value area, price is chopping around VWAP/dPOC with no clear trend and low volume — a poor-location, low-conviction reclaim wick, not a trade even absent the loss-limit rule.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 22:30 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this day book (last three outcomes L·L·L). The rule is absolute: after THREE consecutive losses I pass this tick regardless of setup. Even setting that aside, the fired level (dPOC $65,897.5) is a reclaim into a cluster of fair-value levels (dVAH, VWAP, pdPOC, pdEQ all overlapping 65,860–66,075) with a short CCV bias and only flat 5m delta — a poor, choppy location with no clean corroboration. No trade.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 21:45 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book (last three outcomes L·L·L) — the discipline rule mandates passing this tick regardless of setup after three consecutive losses. Additionally, no valid trigger exists: the fired pdPOC interaction is only a 1m wick-and-close, which can never stand as a trigger; price is pinned in dead-center chop between dPOC ($65,897.5), VWAP ($65,931.2) and pdPOC ($65,858.5) with near-zero volume, offering no clean edge location.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book — after three, the rule is to pass this tick regardless of setup. On top of that, the pdPOC level fired via a 5m wick-and-reclaim, but a 5m close is never itself a valid trigger (no 15m trigger has closed), and this exact pd_poc level was already attempted within the last 30 minutes, which forbids a re-take without a fresh trigger. Price is also sitting right at fair value (VWAP $65,931, dPOC $65,897) in the middle of the day's range with flat 5m delta — a poor, low-conviction location.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 20:40 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book with last three outcomes all losses — the risk rule requires me to pass this tick regardless of setup. Beyond that, the gate fired only on a 1m close reclaiming pdPOC ($65,858.5), and a 1m close is never a valid named trigger; no 15m trigger has printed, price is sitting essentially at fair value (VWAP $65,931, dPOC $65,897.5) in the middle of the developing range with flat delta — a poor-reaction, no-edge location.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedSTATE shows 4 consecutive losses on this book — the rule requires a pass this tick regardless of setup after three consecutive losses. Additionally, no valid 15m trigger has printed: the fired level is daily VWAP ($65,937), but price is sitting almost exactly on VWAP/dPOC ($65,897.5) in the middle of the developing value area — a fair-value chop zone with no clean reject or reclaim close. Delta 5m is flat and volume is negligible, a poor reaction. Stand aside.View thesis →
Jul 22, 2026, 18:15 UTC