PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-reclaim of the developing dPOC ($78,732.5), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book and the named-TF facts confirm the 10:45 15m close (78,864.5, closed down) contains no scanned level — so there is no 15-minute trigger at any tradeable level. Structure is also unhelpful: price rejected the dVAH/dHigh region (79,711) and has ground back down through VWAP ($79,111) with 5m delta confirming down, so the only mechanical read is a fade lower, yet dPOC/dVAL ($78,732/$78,632) and D-Open ($78,407) sit immediately beneath as support — fading momentum into support is forbidden, and a long here is a 5m-only reclaim against down-flow. No trigger, no clean location.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 11:05 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable this tick, so no 15-minute candle close can be named as a trigger — and the TRIGGER FACTS block gives me no closed candle to cite at any of the nearby levels (dVAL $78,733, VWAP $79,162.9, M-Open $78,511.5, D-Open $78,407.1). Price sits mid-structure between dVAL above and the day open/pdEQ cluster below with CCV not in play, so the read is unclear: candidates in reach but zero confirmation. No trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 10:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close below daily VWAP ($79,175.6) — a thrust through, not a retest, and price at $79,058.5 is already the extension below it, so entering here is chasing. Corroboration also contradicts the short: CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta shows a bullish divergence into the flush, funding is only mildly positive and OI is falling (short covering, not trapped longs), while dVAL $79,011 sits right beneath as support — a continuation short into support is forbidden. No clean level-reaction or reclaim close exists yet.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:45 UTC
PassedThe gate fired a 15m close back below pdH $79,423.1 (and dPOC), which reads as a loss-of-level short trigger, but the corroboration is against it: CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta shows a bullish divergence into this dip, price has held above VWAP $79,178.8 all session with higher highs/higher lows on 1H/4H, and the day is building value above the prior day's VA — shorting into that is fading an intact intraday uptrend, and the only near support (VWAP/dVAL) is barely $200-400 below, so the honest R:R to any real objective (D-Open $78,407) is unattractive versus a stop above $79,711. No qualifying short setup; I hold the existing long rather than manufacture the counter-trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that wicked below the developing dPOC ($79,456.5) and closed back above it — but the dPOC is mid-range fair value, not a strong, stop-rich level, and the method explicitly says not to open new positions at the POC. The 15m candle itself closed DOWN off the day high, and Delta 5m is confirming_down while price sits just under dVAH/dHigh, so the reaction quality is poor and the read is unclear (no clean long location, and a short into an in-progress uptrend with no rejection close at dVAH/pwPOC would be fading momentum). No corroborated level-reaction or with-trend retest exists here.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 09:15 UTC
PassedThe 08:30 15m candle only tagged pwPOC $79,706.5 / dHigh $79,711.2 with the very tip of its wick (high exactly $79,711.2) and closed $115 below — that is a marginal touch, not a stop-rich sweep of an obvious pre-existing level, and the fade is being taken into strongly aligned bullish flow (CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +144 BTC, price above VWAP $79,152 and rising off the day open, OI only mildly short-covering). Shorting here means fading momentum into a level the market has barely tested once, with the broader read (greed 66, day trending up from $78,402) contradicting the direction — corroboration is missing. No with-trend long trigger is available either: the last closed 15m is a down candle at the day's high, so a long would be chasing the extension rather than a retest.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:45 UTC
PassedThe 15m 08:15 candle closed THROUGH pdH ($79,423.1), dVAH and the D-nPOC $79,629.5 — a valid thrust trigger — but price at $79,646.8 is still at the extension/high of that trigger candle, not a retest; entering here is the chased trade the method forbids. Additionally STATE shows this exact level (naked_day_all_79629.5) already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh reaction, and the 5m volume into the high is climactic while OI is falling (short covering, -0.38% 4h), which weakens the break's quality. I want price back to the broken pdH/nPOC shelf before any long.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:35 UTC
PassedThe 08:15 15m candle closed THROUGH pdH $79,423.1, dVAH $79,371.0 and the D-nPOC $79,629.5 in one impulsive 238-BTC bar — that is confirmation, not an entry, and current price $79,630.4 sits at the very top of the thrust (dHigh $79,681.0) with no retest yet. Entering here would be the chased extension the method forbids; the only clean entry is a pullback into the trigger candle's body / the reclaimed pdH-dVAH shelf, which has not printed.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m 08:00 candle did wick above pdH $79,423.1 and close back below it (a nominal SFP shape), but the corroboration is against the short: the day is trending up (higher highs and higher lows off the 78,402 day low, price above daily VWAP $78,994 and above dPOC/dVAL), 4h CVD is confirming_up, funding is neutral at +0.0097% and OI is falling (short covering, not trapped longs building into the high) — that is a weak, low-quality sweep rather than a stop-rich trapped-long reversal. The only supporting signal is the 5m taker-delta divergence, and a divergence alone is never a trigger; a counter-trend short here would also be fading momentum into the developing day high with the first real support (VWAP) only ~$390 away against a stop above $79,488, which does not clear 2:1.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:15 UTC
PassedThe pdH sweep at $79,423.1 has only a 5m wick-and-close-back — no 15-minute candle has CLOSED back below the level, so the named trigger for an SFP short does not exist (the 08:00 15m closed up and the 08:15 is still forming). The corroboration is also mixed: CVD is confirming_up, funding mildly positive, price is above VWAP and just broke dVAH, so the only structural read that HAS triggered is bullish continuation — but it is into the pdH/dHigh extreme with the D-nPOC at $79,629.5 just overhead, which forbids a chase long. Missing: a confirming 15m close.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 08:10 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a 15m holding above the developing VAH ($79,101), but this is a marginal location: price is pressed right into the developing day high ($79,341.7), which the same candle wicked and closed back below, and just under pdH $79,423.1 / D-nPOC↑ $79,629.5 — i.e. a long here is buying directly into major resistance, which the method forbids, and a short at the level has no reclaim/rejection close back below dVAH. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD reads bearish divergence into the highs and 5m delta is flat (+2.9 BTC) on a fresh high — a poor delta response — while OI ticks up into the level (potential trapped longs). No clean, corroborated trigger, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 07:15 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and no TRIGGER FACTS block shows any closed 15-minute candle, so I cannot name a confirming trigger candle at any level — the trigger leg of the three requirements is entirely missing. Price at $79,098 is sitting right on the developing dVAH ($79,075) just under dHigh $79,307 with flat 5m delta and a bearish CVD divergence against rising OI, which is an unclear read rather than a corroborated one. No trade without a confirmed close.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 07:00 UTC
PassedThe 06:00 15m candle closed through dVAH $79,047 and back above VWAP $78,885, which is a valid level-reaction trigger, but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — price at $79,062 is still sitting at/above the trigger's extreme with no retest of the broken dVAH yet. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD reads bearish_divergence and 5m taker delta is flat (-0.6 BTC) into a fresh local high, i.e. a poor delta response at the level, while dHigh $79,307 and pdH $79,423 sit just above as resistance. I want the pullback into the dVAH/trigger-body before committing long.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 06:15 UTC
PassedThe fired level is daily VWAP ($78,883.8) and the only "trigger" is a 15m candle whose body straddles it — it wicked $4 above VWAP and closed $5 below, which is noise, not a rejection or a close through a level. Price is pinned at VWAP in the middle of the developing day range (dPOC $78,556 below, dVAH $79,049 / dHigh $79,307 above), i.e. a no-trade middle-of-profile location with no confirmed 15m level-reaction and no established trend on 1m/5m/15m to join. Signals also conflict: 4h CVD bearish divergence and a fading push off the day high versus a bullish 5m delta divergence and healthy OI/uptrend — no corroborated direction.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 06:05 UTC
PassedThe fired level is daily VWAP ($78,883.8) and price is essentially sitting on it — a 15m candle that pokes above and closes $4 below VWAP is noise, not a rejection trigger, and the same 15m also reclaimed pdVAH from below, so the two signals inside one candle contradict each other. STATE also shows this VWAP level already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh, unambiguous trigger. With price mid-range between dPOC/dVAL ($78,528–78,556) and dVAH ($79,049) and CVD bearish-divergent against a bullish 5m delta divergence, the read is unclear and there is no clean confirming close.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 06:05 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the trigger requirement is simply not verifiable. Price at $78,895 is sitting right on daily VWAP ($78,884) in the middle of the developing value area (dPOC $78,556 / dVAH $79,053), which is a no-trade mid-range location anyway, and signals conflict (4h CVD bearish divergence vs bullish 5m delta, greed sentiment, healthy OI). No trigger, poor location: pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 06:00 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 05:30 (C $78,870.1) did break back below both dVAH $79,057 and daily VWAP $78,884.6 — a level-reaction short trigger — but the entry would have to be the RETEST back up into VWAP/the trigger body, and price is sitting at $78,849.5, already below the level with no pullback yet, so entering here is chasing the extension. Corroboration is also mixed: the 5m taker delta reads bullish divergence (+33.6 BTC) against this fresh low, OI is in a healthy 4h uptrend and funding is mildly positive — flow is fading the breakdown rather than confirming it. Price is also squeezed between dPOC/dVAL $78,528–78,556 just below and VWAP just above, leaving no clean 2:1 objective; no trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 05:45 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is the 05:15 15m candle closing back below the developing VAH ($79,091) after tagging the developing day high ($79,307) — but the developing dVAH is a soft Tier-2 in-flight level, not a stop-rich pre-existing structure, and price has been grinding UP all session (higher lows off the day low $78,402, reclaim of VWAP $78,878, 1H/4H closes up), so a short here fades momentum into an ongoing rally rather than trading a proven rejection. Corroboration is mixed and contradicts the short: OI building +1.45% on a healthy uptrend, funding only mildly positive, and 5m delta is a BULLISH divergence (+19 BTC) refusing to confirm the pullback. The next real short location is pdH $79,423 / D-nPOC $79,629.5 above, and the next real long location is VWAP/dPOC below — neither has a confirming close, so there is no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 05:30 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is the developing day high at $79,163.5 — a level price just made itself moments ago on the impulse, not a pre-existing stop-rich level, so the "SFP" of it is nothing but the highest tick of a still-running 15m thrust (04:30 candle closed up at $79,143.3, right at the extreme). Entering here would be chasing the extension with no retest and no defined swept structure, and the flow contradicts a short: Delta 5m is confirming_up (+20.9 BTC), OI is a healthy 4h uptrend +1.44%, F&G 66 Greed, and price has just reclaimed VWAP $78,694 / dVAH $78,749. There is therefore no valid trigger for a short and no pullback to any level for a with-trend long — the nearest real long location would be a retest of dVAH/VWAP, which price has not offered.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 04:45 UTC