PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book (an open short with T1 booked is already running), and there is no long trigger: the most recent closed 15m candle (00:00 UTC) closed DOWN through dVAL/dPOC/VWAP/D-Open, i.e. the only confirmed close is bearish, not bullish. The dev_val level also already fired within the last 30 minutes, and the tape is a dead-of-night 160-dollar coil on ~2 BTC of volume with flat 5m delta — a poor reaction, no reclaim close, no corroboration for a long.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:25 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no long trigger: the named 15m candle (00:00 UTC) closed DOWN through dVAL/dPOC/VWAP/D-Open — a bearish rejection, the opposite direction to the one I am permitted to take. The developing day range is a 110-dollar coil in the first 15 minutes of the session with almost no volume, no swept level has been reclaimed on a close, and the 4h CVD reads bearish divergence with OI falling (short covering) — a poor-quality reaction. No confirming long close, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on the developing dPOC ($78,256.5), but this is a brand-new session (day 5 minutes old, 8.9 BTC transacted) so the developing POC/VAH/VAL/VWAP are all clustered within $25 of each other and of the daily open — that is noise, not a level worth trading, and the dev_poc was already attempted within the last 30 minutes. There is no meaningful trigger either: the only closed 15m candle (23:45) closed BELOW both VWAP and dVAH, so no confirming close through a level in the long direction exists, and price is mid-nothing between pdL $77,700 and pdPOC/D-nPOC↑ $78,733.5.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedThe "fired" level is a brand-new day session that is one minute old — dPOC/dVAH/dVAL/D-Open are all stacked at ~$78,265 and are meaningless as structure; the 15m close through them is not a real level reaction, just the day rolling over. I hold an open short on this book so only a long may be recorded, and the only long location worth trading is the pdL/$77,700 sweep area, where no reclaim trigger has printed at current price ($78,246 is mid-air between pdL $77,700 and pdEQ $78,705.6). No tradeable level in reach with a genuine trigger, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger available is a 15m close ($78,169.0) reclaiming pdVAL $78,166.0 by three dollars — a marginal, low-volume reclaim (1.4–10 BTC per 15m bar) with no genuine sweep-and-reclaim structure and no reaction quality: 5m delta is flat (+4.4 BTC/30m), 4h CVD is confirming_down, open interest is bleeding (-1.19% 4h) and price sits below daily VWAP $78,913 and below the D-Open $78,407 after a decisive intraday rejection from $79,711. A long here would be fading a confirmed lower-high/lower-low 1H downtrend into open space, with the nearest real support (dLow $77,700 / D-nPOC↓ $76,699) still untested — corroboration is missing, not just the retest.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 23:45 UTC
PassedNo price action is available this cycle, so I cannot name any 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected a level — the trigger requirement is unmet by definition. Only a long may be recorded on this book, yet CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is confirming_down, OI is bleeding and price sits below daily VWAP ($78,917) and the day open ($78,407) near the developing day low — nothing corroborates a long here. Missing element: a confirming trigger, plus corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 23:00 UTC
PassedThe only candidate is a "sweep" of the developing day low $77,700 — but that low is a fresh extreme made minutes ago on this same down-leg, not a pre-existing, obvious, stop-rich level, so it fails the sweep-reclaim location requirement (the 15m candle merely made the low and closed $100 off it; there is no reclaim of a defined prior level). Corroboration also contradicts a long: 15m/1h/4h are one-time framing down, CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -20.4 BTC still confirming down, price below VWAP $78,926 and D-Open $78,407, with the next real support (pwVAL $76,970 / D-nPOC↓ $76,699.5) still untouched below. Only a long may be recorded on this book, and no valid long trigger exists.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 22:15 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long may be recorded — and there is no clean long trigger: the 15m at 21:15 merely wicked pdVAL ($78,166) and closed back above it, a marginal internal reclaim in the middle of a down day, not a swept major level, while pdVAL itself was already attempted within the last 30 minutes. Corroboration is also against a long: 4H CVD confirming_down, price below daily VWAP ($78,946) and D-Open ($78,407), 15m/1H making lower highs and lower lows; the only bullish note is a small 5m delta divergence, which is never a trigger. No qualifying long location + no valid trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 21:35 UTC
PassedThe only permitted direction here is long (an open short with T1 booked sits on this book), and the long case is weak: the 21:15 15m candle did wick below pdVAL $78,166 and close back above it, but this is a marginal internal reclaim of a soft level — price has already spent multiple 15m closes below pdVAL this hour, so it is not an obvious stop-rich swept extreme, and the reaction is poor (tiny 6.5 BTC volume on the reclaim candle, flat OI, CVD confirming_down). Structure is lower highs/lower lows off the 79,711 day high with price below VWAP $78,947, dPOC and D-Open — the broader signals contradict a long rather than corroborate it. No clean trigger with corroboration, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no clean long trigger: the 21:00 15m candle wicked $78,102.4 below pdVAL $78,166.0 and closed back above it, but that is a marginal internal-level reclaim, not an obvious stop-rich swept level, and corroboration is against it — 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m delta flat (+15 BTC, no buy response), price below daily VWAP $78,948.5 and below the day open, with the 15m/1h structure making lower highs and lower lows into the developing day low $77,869. A poor reaction at the level with no delta or OI response is itself sufficient reason to pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long may be recorded — and there is no valid long trigger: the last closed 15m (20:30) closed up but only reclaimed pdVAL ($78,166) intra-candle before price slipped back below it on the 5m/1m, so the reclaim is not holding and no 15m close back above the level stands as a trigger. Corroboration is also against a long: price is below daily VWAP ($78,958), 4h CVD is confirming_down, OI is in a strong 4h downtrend into falling price, and the day is making lower highs from $79,711. Additionally, pdVAL was already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so a fresh trigger is required.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 20:50 UTC
PassedThe only permitted direction here is long (open short on this book), and the long case is thin: the 20:30 15m candle reclaimed pdVAL $78,166 after the 20:15/20:29 flush to $77,869, but that flush swept nothing pre-existing — dLow $77,869 is a fresh extreme, not a defined swept level, and pdL $77,576.9 was never reached. Corroboration is against a long: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta flat/negative on the reclaim (no buy response), price below daily VWAP $78,960 and below the D-Open $78,407, with 15m/1h structure making lower highs and lower lows. That is a poor reaction at the level, so I pass rather than buy a weak reclaim into a downtrend.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 20:45 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, but the long case has no valid trigger: the 15m candle at 20:15 that made the new dLow $77,869.0 closed at $78,050.1 — still BELOW pdVAL $78,166.0, i.e. it closed down through the settled value-area low rather than reclaiming any level, so there is no reclaim close and no swept pre-existing structure (the low is a fresh developing extreme, not a defined prior level). Flow contradicts a long as well: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -18.9 BTC, price under daily VWAP $78,965.8 and D-Open $78,407.1 with lower highs all session. No trigger + contradicted corroboration = pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedThe only trade I could record here is a long (short already open on this book), but the long case is weak: the 19:45 15m candle wicked below pdVAL $78,166 and closed at $78,166.2 — a hair-thin reclaim, not a convincing rejection, on a day that is one-time-framing down (lower highs/lower lows since the 79,711 spike) with 4h CVD confirming_down and 5m taker delta -21.3 BTC still confirming_down into the level. That is a poor reaction (no delta response, tiny volume) at a level being pressed, and the flow contradicts the long. No clean long trigger, no corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 20:00 UTC
PassedState says I already hold an open short on this book, so only a long may be recorded — and there is no long trigger here: the 19:30 15m candle closed DOWN through the D-Open ($78,407.1) and below pdPOC ($78,488.5), with 1H/4H closing down and CVD confirming_down. No reclaim close back above D-Open, no swept low with a reclaim, and price sits mid-way between dLow $77,988.3 and VWAP $78,990.2 with flat 5m delta — no long-side level reaction or confluence exists.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 19:45 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book (open short already running), but the only trigger present is bearish: the 19:15 15m candle wicked above pdEQ $78,500 / M-Open $78,511.5 / pdPOC $78,488.5 and closed back below all three. There is no bullish reclaim close of pdPOC/pdEQ and no swept low reclaimed, so the long side has no trigger; price is also mid-range between dLow $77,988 and VWAP $78,993 with flat 5m delta — poor reaction quality.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 19:30 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open short, so only a long could be recorded — and there is no clean long trigger. The only named-timeframe close is the 19:15 15m candle reclaiming D-Open $78,407.1 on tiny volume (20.5 BTC), a micro-reclaim inside a fresh downswing from $79,711 with the 4H closed down and CVD showing bearish divergence; the pdPOC $78,488.5 reclaim is a 5m close only, which can never be the named trigger. Reaction quality is poor (flat 5m delta, ~-3.5 BTC, negligible volume) and price sits below VWAP $78,993.6, so a long here is fading the intraday downtrend with no corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 19:25 UTC
PassedThe 18:30 15m candle did close below pdEQ $78,500 / M-Open $78,511.5 / pdPOC $78,488.5, but the break is worthless as a trigger: it printed on 3.1 BTC of volume into the dead late-session tape, with no delta response (Σ -18.6 BTC over 30m) and open interest weakening/falling (-0.83% 4h), i.e. shorts covering rather than new sellers — a poor reaction at the level, which the method treats as a sufficient reason to pass. There is also no retest: price sits at $78,443, already below the trigger body, so entering here is the extension, not the return to the broken level. Structure is a chop/balance around the pd value area (pdVAL $78,166 / pdPOC $78,488 / dVAL $78,653) with VWAP $79,003 overhead — no established trend to join, and mid-value POC chop is the 50/50 location the method says not to trade.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 18:45 UTC
PassedThe only machine-confirmed trigger is a bullish reclaim of pdEQ/M-Open ($78,500/$78,511.5) — a long signal — but STATE shows an open long on this book, so a same-direction trade is barred and only a short may be recorded. There is no short trigger: no 15m close has rejected a resistance level (VWAP $79,003 and dVAL $78,653 are untested from below), and price is sitting ON support with CVD/delta merely drifting, so a short here would be fading momentum into the reclaimed pdEQ support — forbidden.View thesis →
Sep 09, 2026, 18:30 UTC