PassedPrice has broken hard below pwVAL ($76,970) — the 15m close at 13:00 UTC is a close THROUGH the level, not a rejection at it, so the entry would have to be the retest of $76,970 from below, and price sits ~$180 under it with no pullback yet. Taking it here would be entering the extension of the flush, which the method forbids; and the CCV bias reads long_bias against a short, so a counter-bias thrust entry needs either a confirmed LTF structure change or a tight scalp shape — neither is present. Also no long is available: the level was lost, not reclaimed, with CVD and 5m delta both confirming down into a fresh developing day low.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 13:15 UTC
PassedThe 12:45 15m candle did wick below the naked day POC at $76,699.5 and close back above it ($76,835.2), but the reaction quality is poor and corroboration is against a long: the same candle closed BELOW pwVAL $76,970 (a Tier-1 level flipping to resistance), 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m taker delta is confirming_down (-88.5 BTC/30m) with no positive delta response on the reclaim, and OI is falling into the low — shorts covering, not trapped shorts being squeezed. That is a reclaim on fading flow inside a fresh vertical flush, not a quality failed-auction long; and the counter-side (short) has no valid location here — price is at a naked POC / freshly flushed low, where fading momentum into support is forbidden.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 13:00 UTC
PassedThe only fired level is pwVAL $76,970 and its reclaim is a 5m close only — the named trigger must be a 15m close, and the 12:30 15m candle closed DOWN through pdL/pmVAH ($77,700/$77,682) with the sweep low $76,603.8 below pwVAL not yet reclaimed on a 15m basis. So the bullish sweep-reclaim has no valid 15m trigger, and a continuation short here is forbidden: price is sitting right on top of a swept Tier-1 support (pwVAL) after a vertical flush, i.e. fading momentum into a strong level. Flow is also mixed against a long (CVD and 5m delta both confirming_down) while CCV bias reads long — conflicting corroboration on top of the missing trigger.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:50 UTC
PassedThe pmVAH/pdL break is a 5m event only — the last CLOSED 15m candle (12:15) closed down mid-range with no close through or rejection at a scanned level, and the 12:30 15m candle that swept pdL/pmVAH and closed back above them is superseded by the ongoing flush (price now $77,358, below both), so there is no confirmed 15m trigger in either direction. STATE also shows pm_vah already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so this level requires a fresh trigger. Additionally the read is conflicted: CCV bias is long_bias while CVD/5m delta are confirming_down into a fresh day low — fading momentum into a freshly flushed low is forbidden, and the reclaim close needed for a sweep-reclaim long has not printed.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:35 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the board is bullish — the 12:15 15m candle wicked below pdL $77,700 / pmVAH $77,682 and closed back above both, an SFP/reclaim pointing LONG, corroborated by long CCV bias and the bullish 5m delta divergence. STATE already shows an open long on this book, so a same-direction trade is a pass, and no short trigger exists (no close back below the reclaimed pdL/pmVAH, and shorting into that just-swept settled support would be fading momentum into a strong level, which the method forbids).View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the board is a bullish one — the 12:00 UTC 15m candle wicked below pdL $77,700 / pmVAH $77,682 and closed back above both, an SFP reclaim that points LONG, corroborated by CCV long_bias, bullish CVD and bullish 5m delta divergence. STATE shows I already hold an open long on this book with T1 unbooked, so only a short may be recorded — and there is no short trigger: no 15m close back below pdL, and shorting into a freshly reclaimed Tier-1 support would be fading momentum into a strong level, which the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedThe pdL break at $77,700 fired only on a 5-minute close (12:05 UTC); the last CLOSED 15m candle (11:45 UTC, C $77,793.6) is entirely above the level and contains no scanned level, so there is no named 15-minute trigger for a breakdown short. Corroboration also conflicts: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed and 4h CVD shows a bullish divergence, while price is sitting at the very low of the developing day/week — fading momentum into a fresh flush low is exactly the forbidden trade. No confirmed 15m close through pdL, no reclaim close back above it — this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:10 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and no short trigger exists: the 11:45 15m close ($77,793.6) contains no scanned level per the level facts, price is chopping just above the day low $77,598.8 / pwVAL $76,970 with no rejection or with-trend close at a tradeable level. Corroboration also opposes a short — CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed, CVD shows bullish divergence, and shorting into the freshly flushed day low is exactly the forbidden fade into support.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m reclaim of pmVAH $77,682, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the named 15m trigger is missing: the last closed 15m (10:45 UTC) closed down at $77,795.7 and contains no scanned level, and the 11:00 15m is still FORMING. Structure is also against a long: 1m/5m/15m are making lower highs and lower lows into a fresh session low, taker delta is confirming_down (-6.5 BTC/30m) with 4h CVD confirming_down, so the reclaim has no order-flow response yet. No confirming close, so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 11:10 UTC
PassedThe pdL break at $77,700 fired only on a 5m close ($77,674.5) — the named trigger must be a 15m close, and the 10:45 15m candle (C $77,795.7) contains no scanned level while the 11:00 15m candle is still FORMING. So there is no confirming 15-minute close through or rejecting pdL yet, and CCV bias reads long against a fresh-low short. Watching for either a 15m close below pdL with a retest, or a reclaim close back above it for the sweep-reclaim long.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 11:05 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a 15m sweep-reclaim of the DEVELOPING day low ($77,750.0) — but that is a fresh intraday extreme made minutes ago, not a pre-existing, stop-rich level (pdL sits at $77,700, still untouched below, and pwL $77,576.9 lower still), so the sweep-reclaim location requirement fails. Reaction quality is also poor: the "sweep" traded 6.9 BTC on the 15m, Delta 5m is flat (-1.3 BTC/30m), OI is flat (-0.12% on 4h), and 4h CVD is confirming_down — no delta response or trapped-trader evidence at the level. With price below VWAP ($78,162) and dPOC/D-Open overhead, there is no corroborated long here and no with-trend short trigger in open space either.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 10:45 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that opened just under dVAL $78,098 and closed $78,140.7 — a minor developing value-area edge reclaim on near-zero volume (2.4 BTC) with Delta 5m flat (+2.2 BTC/30m): a poor reaction, no delta response, no OI interest (OI -0.68% on 4h, weakening). Price is also pinned within ~$50 of daily VWAP $78,179 and D-Open $78,265.6 — mid-value, no-trade zone — with 4h CVD confirming down against the CCV long bias, so corroboration is mixed rather than aligned. No clean level-reaction and no established trend to join; this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is the developing dVAL at $78,098 and the 15m "trigger" is a 2-dollar wick above it closing back below inside a 100-dollar chop range — that is noise, not a level reaction: the last hour of 15m candles are all overlapping 78,000-78,110 bodies on 1-13 BTC volume, so there is no confirming close through or rejection of any tradeable level. Reaction quality is poor (Delta 5m flat +7.5 BTC, OI bleeding -0.80% on 4h with no interest into the level), and the read is contradicted anyway: CCV bias is long while price is drifting under VWAP $78,179 with CVD confirming_down. No trigger, no corroboration — this is mid-range of the developing value area and the method says stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 09:10 UTC
PassedNo price action was provided and the TRIGGER FACTS block shows no named 15-minute close I can cite, so the mandatory trigger leg is missing entirely — I have candidate levels (dVAL $78,098 just below, VWAP $78,179, D-Open $78,266) but only proximity, not a confirming close or rejection. Signals are also mixed: CCV bias long_bias and a 5m bullish delta divergence against 4h CVD confirming_down and price below VWAP/day open. Proximity plus conflicting corroboration is a pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 09:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on dVAL $78,102 but the signals conflict: the last closed 15m (08:15) closed ABOVE dVAL while the 5m closed back below it — price is chopping either side of the developing VAL with tiny volume (5-6 BTC per candle), no delta response (Δ5m flat +7.2 BTC) and falling open interest, which is exactly the poor reaction the method says to pass on. In addition, STATE shows this same dev_val level already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I require a fresh, clean trigger; and the CCV long_bias contradicts the short read of the 5m break. No clean setup — no valid named 15m trigger in the direction of the bias.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 08:35 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a marginal 15m close ($78,111.1) back above the developing VAL at $78,104.0 — a 7-dollar reclaim on 12.8 BTC of volume, i.e. a poor reaction with no delta response (5m delta flat at +5 BTC over 30 minutes) and open interest falling on the 4h (-0.97%), so there are no trapped shorts to fuel a reversal. Structure also contradicts a long here: 1H/4H are one-time-framing lower (07:00 1H closed down, 04:00 4H closed down) and 4h CVD is confirming_down, while the developing VAL sits directly under the dPOC/D-Open/dVAH stack of resistance ($78,265–78,473) leaving no clean 2:1 to any real objective. Missing: reaction quality and corroboration, not just the retest.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedNo trigger: the last closed 15m candle (08:00 UTC, C $78,014.1) contains no scanned level — it is drifting in open space between dVAL $78,108 / VWAP $78,184.8 above and the day low $77,833.6 below, on near-zero volume. Price is chopping under VWAP without a level-reaction close, without a swept-and-reclaimed level, and the tape is sideways rather than trending (no clean HH/HL or LH/LL sequence), so no continuation trigger either. Signals also conflict — CCV bias long and 5m delta confirming up against 4h CVD confirming down and price below VWAP/D-Open — so I stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 08:15 UTC
PassedNo trigger: the price-action feed is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — and the method forbids entering on proximity alone. Price at $78,022 sits between dVAL ($78,108)/VWAP ($78,186) above and dLow ($77,833)/pdL ($77,700) below, i.e. mid-noise with no confirmed reaction; signals also conflict (CCV long_bias and Greed 69 against confirming_down CVD, flat 5m delta and weakening OI).View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 08:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m "sweep" of the developing day low $77,833.6 — but that is a fresh intraday extreme printed minutes ago, not a pre-existing, obvious, stop-rich level (the method requires a defined prior swing/range boundary or settled period level to be swept; a developing low with no structure beneath it is not a valid sweep location). Corroboration is also against a long: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -33.1 BTC confirming_down, price below daily VWAP $78,189.2, D-Open $78,265.6 and dPOC $78,304.5, with the reaction at the low on thin volume (16.7 BTC) — a poor reaction. No qualifying level-reaction, no with-trend retest in open space, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 07:45 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a 15m wick below dVAL $78,120 with a close back above ($78,149.1) — but that same candle also closed BELOW VWAP $78,200, below D-Open $78,265.6 and below dPOC $78,304.5, so the "reclaim" is a mixed, low-quality reaction rather than a clean bullish level defence: price is still under session fair value with 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m delta flat (-21.8 BTC, no buying response at the level) and OI falling into it (shorts covering, no trapped positioning). dVAL is also a minor developing edge sitting only ~$250 above the day low, not a stop-rich, obvious swept level. Corroboration and reaction quality are missing, so I decline rather than wait.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 07:15 UTC