PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close below pdVAL ($77,095) — but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the only closed 15m candle (14:45) closed UP at $77,151.5, above pdVAL/pdPOC, i.e. it contradicts the short. So there is no confirming 15-minute close through or rejecting the level. Price is also mid-structure between dVAH $77,058 / pdVAL $77,095 / pdPOC $77,133.5 with flat 5m delta (-23 BTC) and CVD confirming up — a poor, unconfirmed reaction in the chop between levels. Missing element: the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 15:05 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is pdPOC $77,133.5, where the 14:30 15m candle wicked above and closed just below it — but that is a marginal rejection in the middle of the day's range after a sharp 700-point rally off the day low, not a clean reaction at a strong level, and the close ($77,115.1) sits between pdVAL, dVAH and pdPOC with price now back above pdPOC at $77,173. Corroboration also conflicts: 4h CVD is confirming_up and OI is a healthy 4h uptrend (favoring continuation higher) while the 5m delta is a bearish divergence — an unresolved read, and a short here would also be fading momentum straight into dVAH/VWAP support just below. No clean trigger plus contradicted bias: pass.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:45 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 14:15 (and the 14:30 close through pdL/pwVAL/dVAH) is a thrust higher off the 76,420 low, but price is now pressed straight into the pdPOC $77,133.5 / pdVAH $77,260 / D-Open $77,234.5 cluster with no retest — entering here would be buying the extension, not the pullback, which the method forbids. Nor is there a short trigger: the only rejection at pdPOC is a 5m wick-and-close (14:35), and a 5m close is never the named trigger. Corroboration is also mixed — Delta 5m shows a bearish divergence into this push while 4h CVD reads confirming_up, so the read is unclear; no clean setup.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:41 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-close-back below pdPOC $77,133.5, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the last CLOSED 15m candle (14:15 UTC, O $76,947.6 H $77,052.0 C $77,040.4) closed UP and well below pdPOC, so there is no 15-minute rejection or reclaim close at that level. The 14:30 15m candle that reclaimed pdL/pwVAL/dVAH is still FORMING and cannot be used. On top of that the read is conflicted: CVD confirms up and price is grinding back off the day low toward pdPOC/pdEQ, while 5m delta shows a bearish divergence (-11.7 BTC) — no corroborated direction, so no trade.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:40 UTC
PassedThe 15m close at 14:15 UTC did reclaim pdL $77,004.2 / pwVAL-dVAH $76,970.0, but a close THROUGH a level is confirmation, not an entry — the entry is the retest, and price at $77,046 is still sitting at the extension of the trigger candle's high ($77,052) with no pullback yet. Corroboration is also thin: 5m delta is flat (+4 BTC), OI is flat, and the reclaim came on tiny volume (6.5 BTC) after a full session of lower highs/lower lows, so the reaction quality at the level is poor. No entry without a retest and a real delta response.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is pdL $77,004.2, but the only close through it is a 5m candle (14:20 UTC) — a 1m/5m close can never be the named trigger, and the 15m that closed at 14:15 only reclaimed VWAP from below (a bullish event), so there is no 15m close rejecting or confirming pdL. Structure is also mixed: price is chopping back up off the day low into a cluster of resistance (dVAH $76,968, pdL $77,004, D-Open $77,234) with flat delta, flat OI and a 4h bearish CVD divergence — no established trend to join and no clean reaction quality to trade. No confirming 15-minute trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:25 UTC
PassedThe only 15m trigger that has actually CLOSED is the 14:00 candle reclaiming daily VWAP ($76,847.3) — dVAH at $76,966.0 has only been crossed by a 5m close (14:15), which can corroborate but never be the named trigger, and the 15m candle spanning it is still FORMING. Even taking the VWAP reclaim, price is now $77,004 — the extension beyond the trigger candle's high, not the retest — so entering here would be chasing. Corroboration is also against it: CVD bearish divergence, 5m delta -8.9 BTC into this push, flat OI, and price is grinding up into the pdL/D-Open/pdVAL cluster ($77,004–$77,234) as resistance after losing it.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:20 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close back above daily VWAP ($76,846.4) — but that is a close THROUGH the level, not a retest, and price at $76,946.6 is the extension above the trigger candle's high, so entering here is the chased trade. Corroboration is also against the long: CVD is a bearish divergence, 5m taker delta is -9.1 BTC into this push (aggressive flow fading the new price high), OI shows short-covering rather than new buying, and price sits directly under dVAH $76,962 / D-Open $77,234.5 with a broader downtrend on the daily. No clean level-reaction long and no with-trend continuation short trigger — pass.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:15 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a 15m close back above the developing POC ($76,731.5), but that same candle also wicked above and rejected daily VWAP ($76,845.7) — a long here is buying straight into VWAP resistance a few dollars above entry, with dVAH $76,966 and the D-Open $77,234.5 stacked above, so there is no honest 2:1 to any objective. Corroboration also conflicts: 4h CVD is a bearish divergence, 5m taker delta is negative (-10.9 BTC) while price pushed up into VWAP, OI is flat (no conviction), and the day is one-time-framing lower (lower 4h highs/lows, day open $77,234.5 far above price). That is a poor reaction on a mid-range, no-trade-zone level (dPOC = fair value) — no clean long, and no reclaim/sweep trigger for the short side yet.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close ($76,774.6) marginally above the developing POC $76,731.5 — a $43 "break" that is noise, not a level-reaction, and it points LONG into a tape whose broader signals all point down: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta bearish divergence (-10.8 BTC) against this small bounce, price below the daily VWAP $76,857.4 and far below the day open $77,234.5, with 15m/1h structure making lower highs and lower lows all session. So the directional read is contradicted, not corroborated, and the reaction quality at the level is poor (thin volume on the bounce). For a short, price sits mid-air between dPOC/VWAP and dVAL $76,421 — no confirmed with-trend 15m close continuing lower and no rejection close at a named level; the last closed 15m candle closed UP. Missing the confirming trigger plus corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedThe only fired location is the developing day POC ($76,731.5) — mid-range fair value, which the method explicitly says is a poor place to open new positions — and the "trigger" is a 15m candle that merely wicked $8 above it and closed $20 below on 2.0 BTC of volume: no rejection of substance, flat 5m delta (+1.2 BTC/30m), weakening OI (-0.54% 4h), i.e. a poor reaction. Price is also just off the session low ($76,420) with dVAL right beneath, so a continuation short here would be fading momentum into support — forbidden — while a long has no reclaim close of any level. No clean level-reaction trigger, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 11:45 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that wicked $1 below the developing dVAL/dLow ($76,421/$76,420) and closed back above — but that is a fresh developing low with no pre-existing, stop-rich structure beneath it, not a swept obvious prior level, so it fails the sweep-reclaim location test. Corroboration also contradicts a long: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta confirming_down (-13.4 BTC), OI falling on the drop (shorts covering, weak), price below daily VWAP $76,866 and below the day open $77,234.5, and the day has been one-time-framing lower all session. A bounce long here is fading momentum into no defined support; a continuation short at the very low of the day is a forbidden entry at the extreme.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 11:15 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is price oscillating around the developing day POC ($76,728.5) — literally the mid-range/fair-value of the session, which the method explicitly treats as a no-trade zone (POC chop is a 50/50). The 15m close at $76,730.0 is a doji-like hover a few dollars above the dPOC after a flush to $76,435.4, not a rejection or a confirmed reclaim of a meaningful level; volume and reaction quality at it are poor. Direction is also conflicted: 4h CVD confirming down and structure making lower highs/lower lows, while 5m delta ticks up and price sits just under daily VWAP $76,890.6 — no corroborated read, so no trade.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 10:15 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that flushed to a fresh developing day low ($76,435.4) and closed marginally back above dVAL $76,559.0 — but dVAL is a developing value-area edge made moments ago, not a pre-existing, obvious, stop-rich level, so the sweep-reclaim precondition (a swept level defined BEFORE the move) is missing. Corroboration also contradicts a long: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta confirming_down (-67 BTC), price below daily VWAP $76,924.8 and below the day open, with 1H/4H making lower highs and lower lows — the bias is short, and a long here would be fading momentum into a freshly flushed low. Equally, a continuation short is forbidden at this location (into the fresh low with no pullback), so there is no clean entry.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe only reaction is a 5-minute sweep-and-reclaim of the developing dVAL ($76,557) — and a 5m close can never be the named trigger on this book. The most recent CLOSED 15m candle (09:00 UTC, O 76,741.3 / C 76,754.6) contains no scanned level and is not a reclaim or rejection of anything; the 09:15 candle is still forming. Corroboration also points the other way for a long: 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -68.6 BTC confirming down, price below daily VWAP ($76,929.9) and below the day open, with 1H/4H making lower highs and lower lows — so the missing piece is a confirming 15-minute close, and the flow contradicts the reversal read.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 09:25 UTC
PassedThe 08:30 15m candle did technically wick below dVAL/dLow $76,689 and close back above it, but this is not a quality sweep-reclaim: dVAL here is a still-developing value edge that was only just created by this same downswing (not a pre-existing, obvious, stop-rich level), and every corroborating signal opposes the long — 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m taker delta -53.3 BTC confirming_down into the low, price below daily VWAP $77,054 and below the day open, with the day one-time-framing lower off $77,284. That is a poor reaction at the level (no delta response, OI flat) against a bearish tape, so the reclaim-long fails the corroboration test; and a continuation short here is forbidden because price is sitting at the freshly flushed developing low, not in open space.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 08:45 UTC
PassedThe 15m at 08:00 closed at $77,004.0, marginally BELOW pdL $77,004.2 — a $0.20 "break" that is noise, not a confirmed close through the level, and no retest of the broken level has occurred anyway (price is sitting at the trigger's extreme, so entering here would be chasing the extension). Reaction quality is also poor: 5.3 BTC on the 15m, delta flat (-2.6 BTC/30m), and the whole session is a tight $77.0k–77.28k coil inside previous-day value with no trend to join. CCV is not in play and CVD confirming-down against Greed sentiment gives no clean corroboration for either side.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 08:15 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — the trigger requirement is simply unverifiable, and the method forbids entering on proximity alone. Price at $77,054 is also sitting almost exactly on dPOC/VWAP ($77,081/$77,117) — the middle of developing value, the classic no-trade "POC chop" zone — with CCV not in play and delta flat, so there is no corroborated edge either way.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 08:00 UTC
PassedThis exact level (pdVAL $77,095) already fired within the last 30 minutes and the "trigger" is a marginal one: the 07:30 15m candle closed $77,095.7, barely 70c above pdVAL, with the whole tape coiled in a $250 range and near-zero volume — that is proximity/noise, not a reaction worth trading. Corroboration is also missing: 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta flat/negative (-5.6 BTC), OI rising into a stalling price, and price sits pinned between dPOC $77,081.5 and VWAP $77,117.7 — the middle of the profile, the no-trade zone. No clean level-reaction and no with-trend structure; pass.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 07:50 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a marginal 15m close $2 below pdVAL ($77,095.0) — a $16 body break of a level sitting inside a tight $77,004–$77,285 balance, with price still glued to daily VWAP ($77,122) and dPOC ($77,160) just above. That is not a confirmed close through a level worth trading: no retest has occurred, the reaction is poor (5m delta flat at +32.6 BTC, no delta response to the break, volume evaporating after the 06:45 flush), and the level cluster below (dVAL $77,060, dLow $76,948, pwVAL $76,970) leaves no honest room to T2 for 2:1. Structure is balance/chop, not trend, so neither a continuation nor a clean level-reaction entry exists.View thesis →
Sep 13, 2026, 07:30 UTC