PassedThe only trigger is a 15m candle (08:45 UTC) that opened $0.50 above the developing POC and closed $42 below it — a nominal, near-zero-range close through a mid-range level on 10 BTC of volume, which is POC chop, not a reaction. I may only record a short here (open long on this book), but a short is contradicted on every corroborating axis: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, funding is mildly negative, 5m delta is flat (+2.6 BTC, no seller response), OI is flat, and price is above daily VWAP $77,018 with a clean series of higher lows off the $76,478 day low. Poor reaction quality at a mid-range level plus a counter-bias direction = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:00 UTC
PassedThe only recordable direction here is a short (open long on this book), and the fired trigger — the 08:30 15m wick above the developing day high/dVAH $77,429.6 closing back below at $77,338.0 — is a rejection at a *developing* intraday extreme, not a stop-rich pre-existing level, and it is directly against the corroborating flow: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, 4h CVD confirming_up, 5m delta confirming_up (+7 BTC), funding slightly negative, and price is holding above daily VWAP $77,010.5 having reclaimed the day open $76,494.9. Against the bias the method requires a confirmed LTF structure change (a lower low AND lower high on closes) or a tight scalp clearing 2:1 — neither is present; the 15m/1h structure is making higher highs and higher lows off the 76,389 low. Corroboration is the missing leg, so this is a decline, not a wait.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:45 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and the short case is weak and contradicted. The 15m that closed 08:30 did wick the developing day high/dVAH ($77,407) and close back below it, but this is a developing intraday edge on a day that opened at $76,494.9, reclaimed VWAP ($77,003.8) and pdVAL ($77,138), with CCV bias long and acceptance activated — corroboration points up, not down. Delta 5m is confirming_up (+6.4 BTC) and OI is flat, so the reaction at the level is poor for a reversal short; fading a rising day into an untested dVAH against the long bias is exactly the trade the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a marginal 15m close below pdVAL ($77,138) by only ~$28 — a nominal loss of the level, not a rejection with a defined wick, and price is already back at $77,129 with the forming candle ticking up. It also points AGAINST the snapshot's long CCV bias (activated, long_bias) and against 4h CVD confirming_up, with price above daily VWAP ($76,992) and a clean sweep-and-reclaim of pdL/W-low at $76,389 yesterday — no confirmed LTF structure change (no lower low + lower high on closes) to justify a counter-bias short. Reaction quality is poor too: 12 BTC on the trigger candle and only -7 BTC of 5m delta over 30 minutes.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:15 UTC
PassedNo price action / candle data is available this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute closing trigger — and a trigger is mandatory. Additionally, STATE restricts me to shorts only, while the corroborating signals (CCV long_bias with acceptance activated, CVD confirming_up, bullish 5m delta divergence, price holding above the day open and near dPOC/dVAH) all contradict a short. Missing: a confirming close and corroboration for the only direction I am permitted to take.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:00 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close marginally below the developing dPOC ($77,239.5) — a $50 slip inside mid-range chop, with flat 5m delta (+1.9 BTC), CVD confirming up, funding neutral-positive, OI in a healthy uptrend and CCV bias long/activated. A short here fades the bias into the developing POC/mid-value with no corroboration and a poor reaction (tiny volume, no delta response), and price sits above VWAP $76,979.7 and D-Open $76,494.9 — value is building up, not down. Missing corroboration and reaction quality; only a short may be recorded on this book, and no valid short exists.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 07:45 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on the tape is a bullish reclaim of pdVAL $77,138 (15m 06:30 close back above after wicking to $77,103.7) — a LONG signal, and STATE already has an open long on this book, so a same-direction trade is barred. There is no short trigger: the CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, CVD is confirming up, day structure is higher lows off $76,478.7 with price above VWAP $76,935.8 and dPOC, so a short here would be fading momentum into a reclaimed support with no rejection close at resistance.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 06:45 UTC
PassedSTATE shows an open long on this book, so only a short may be recorded — but there is no short setup: CCV bias is long, CVD is confirming_up, price has reclaimed pdVAL $77,138 and dVAH $77,046 with a 5m close back above value, and no 15m candle has closed rejecting a level to the downside (the 06:15 close contains no scanned level per the named-TF facts). No confirming bearish trigger, and the read contradicts a short.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 06:40 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no short setup: the "trigger" is merely the developing day high being tagged by a 15m candle that closed up $2 below its own high — that is a fresh extreme with no pre-existing stop-rich level beneath/above it, not a swept prior swing, so no SFP/failed-auction exists. Corroboration also points the wrong way for a short: CCV bias is long, 4h CVD confirming up, 5m delta +17.4 BTC confirming up, price reclaimed VWAP/dPOC/dVAH and is one-time-framing higher off the pdL sweep at $76,389. Shorting a breaking dev high into that flow is fading momentum, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 06:15 UTC
PassedNo trigger: the price-action feed is unavailable, so I cannot name a specific closed 15-minute candle that closed through or rejected any level — and a named 15m trigger is mandatory. Structurally price is pressing the developing day high ($77,177) just under pwVAL $76,970 reclaimed and pdVAL $77,138 overhead, with CCV bias long and flat 5m delta, so a short here would also be fading the bias into a rising tape with no confirmation. Only a short may be recorded on this book and none is confirmed; pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 06:00 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, but the structure and flow point the other way: the 04:15 15m candle closed UP through pwVAL ($76,970), dPOC and dVAH, CVD is confirming_up, 5m delta +27.5 BTC, CCV bias is long_bias and the day is making higher lows off $76,478. The dHigh "rejection" is a single 5m wick at a developing high with no 15m close back below a defined prior level — no valid short trigger, and a counter-bias short here would be fading a momentum thrust into open space above value.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 04:30 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long already), but there is no bearish trigger: the last CLOSED 15m (04:00) closed UP at $76,901.6 and price has since pushed to the day high $77,000–77,013 with CVD and 5m delta both confirming up, funding near neutral and CCV bias long. Shorting here would be fading momentum into a fresh developing day high with no rejection close — the confirming bearish candle close is missing, and the read is contradicted by flow.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 04:25 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short may be recorded — and the only trigger present is a bullish one: the 04:00 15m candle opened below dVAH $76,843 and closed above it ($76,901.6), with CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up and price reclaiming VWAP $76,755. There is no short trigger at all: no rejection close at dVAH/dHigh, no lower-timeframe structure break, and delta 5m is flat with OI flat, so even a fade of the day high $76,948.7 lacks both a confirming close and corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 04:15 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short could be recorded — but there is no short trigger: the only fired event is a 5m close ABOVE dVAH $76,843 (bullish, and a 5m close is never a valid named trigger), and the last closed 15m candle reclaimed dPOC $76,712.5 and VWAP $76,753.7 to the upside. CCV bias is long, CVD is confirming up, and 5m delta is flat — nothing corroborates a short here, and fading a bid-supported reclaim just above VWAP into dVAH is exactly the trade the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 04:05 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable this tick, so I cannot name a specific CLOSED 15-minute trigger candle — and without a named trigger there is no entry. Structurally price is sitting right on the developing VA (VWAP $76,753 / dPOC $76,712 / dVAH $76,843) in the middle of value, which is a no-trade location, and the only side I may record is a short while CCV bias reads long_bias and 4h CVD is confirming_up — a counter-bias short with no confirmed lower-timeframe structure break. Missing: the confirming close, and corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 04:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m wick-and-reclaim of the developing VAL ($76,666), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the named 15m candle (03:15–03:30) is ambiguous at best — it closed BELOW VWAP ($76,751.3) while closing back above dPOC, i.e. conflicting signals at two tier-two levels rather than a clean reject/reclaim. Price is pinned in a $76,63x–$76,95x chop between dPOC, VWAP and dVAL with tiny volume (1–6 BTC per 15m), flat 5m delta (-0.2 BTC / 30m) and flat OI — a poor, no-response reaction at the level. No trend to join either: 15m/1h structure is sideways after yesterday's flush, so neither a level-reaction nor a continuation trigger exists.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 03:35 UTC
PassedThe fired level is daily VWAP ($76,752.1) but price is pinned right on it — the 03:15 15m candle closed $76,749.5, three dollars below VWAP and just above dPOC $76,712.5, i.e. dead centre of a $76,666–$76,843 developing value area. That is the middle of the range, the poor-location entry the method forbids, with no directional trigger: no 15m close through or rejection of a meaningful level, 5m delta flat (-0.5 BTC) and volume near zero, so reaction quality is absent. The CCV long_bias also conflicts with the 15m close below VWAP, so the read is unclear in both directions.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 03:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m 03:00 candle did reject dVAL/dPOC/VWAP (wick to $76,627.4, close $76,812.1 back above all three), but the location and corroboration are poor: price is sitting essentially ON VWAP/dPOC in the dead middle of a 15m range ($76,389–$76,948), which the method calls a no-trade zone, and the reaction quality is weak — 3.5 BTC on the trigger candle, Delta 5m flat (+0.9 BTC/30m) so aggressive flow is not confirming the reclaim, and OI is falling (short_covering -0.76%) rather than building. Context also conflicts: CCV reads long_bias while the daily/4H structure is a clear downtrend (yesterday closed -$1,770 on the low, day opened at $76,494.9 near the pdL/pwL cluster), so the reclaim has no clean, meaningful objective — the nearest real upside level (pdVAL $77,138 / pdEQ $77,439) sits above a poor, low-volume tape. No clean setup; passing on reaction quality, not just the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 03:20 UTC