PassedThe 15m candle closing 12:15 did close below VWAP ($76,989), pwVAL ($76,970) and dVAL ($76,889) — structurally a bearish rejection — but the read is contradicted, not corroborated: CCV bias reads long_bias, 5m taker delta is flat/slightly positive (+15.7 BTC) with no downside response, open interest is a weakening downtrend (-0.39% 4h, -1.07% 24h, shorts covering rather than new sellers), and funding is neutral. That is a poor reaction at the level, and price is sitting only ~$100 above the pdL/W-Low cluster ($76,389/$76,478 day low) — shorting into that support is fading momentum into a strong level, which the method forbids. A long here is equally unsupported: no reclaim close back above dVAL/VWAP has printed. Missing piece: corroboration and reaction quality.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedNo clean trigger: the only 15m close available (11:45 UTC) closed marginally back above pwVAL/VWAP but price has already slipped back beneath both, so the reclaim is unconfirmed and the gate's VWAP break is only a 5m close, which can never be the named trigger. Structurally price is chopping in a tight $76,675–$77,430 balance right at daily VWAP/pwVAL — the middle of the range — with CCV acceptance failed, 4h CVD confirming down against the stated long_bias, and 5m delta confirming up: conflicting signals with no edge. Volume into the level is thin and open interest is bleeding, a poor reaction that argues for standing aside.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:10 UTC
PassedThis pwVAL ($76,970) level already fired within the last 30 minutes and the STATE block forbids re-taking it without a fresh trigger — and the only "trigger" here is a 5m wick-and-reclaim plus a 15m close that merely crawled $7 above the level, not a decisive rejection. Structure is also unsupportive: 4h/daily are in a clear downtrend (yesterday closed on its low at $76,494.9, price below pdVAL, below dPOC/dVAH), 4h CVD is confirming_down, and CCV acceptance has FAILED so the long_bias reads as unconfirmed. Price is sitting exactly on daily VWAP $76,990.7 in the middle of the day's range — no clean location, no clean trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:05 UTC
PassedThe 11:45 15m candle did close back above pwVAL $76,970 (and dVAL $76,889), but that close IS the trigger, not the entry — price at $76,952 is currently sitting just BELOW the reclaimed level, so there is no confirmed hold/retest yet, and the reclaim is a single low-volume 15m close (21 BTC) into a day that just closed down hard with 4H CVD confirming down and OI weakening. Corroboration is mixed rather than clean (CCV long_bias and 5m delta up vs. daily lower-low structure, price below VWAP $76,990.9 and CCV acceptance failed), so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on dVAL ($76,887) but the only rejection is a 5m wick-and-close-below — the named-TF facts confirm the last closed 15m candle (11:30 UTC, O 76,777.2 C 76,840.7) contains no scanned level, so there is no 15-minute trigger at dVAL or anywhere else. Price is also chopping in a $76,675–$77,430 range beneath VWAP ($76,991.6) with a long CCV bias but failed acceptance — direction is contradicted, not corroborated. No confirming 15m close = no trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 11:50 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long already), and there is no clean short trigger: the 10:30 15m candle closed BELOW pwVAL $76,970 but immediately wicked and held above dVAL $76,929 — a two-sided, low-volume chop between overlapping levels, not a rejection. Delta 5m is flat (-1.5 BTC) with no seller response, OI is falling (short covering, weakening downtrend), and the CCV bias is long — a counter-bias short into the day low/D-Open ($76,479/$76,495) support just beneath is exactly the fade-into-support the method forbids. No confirming 15m close through the level with corroboration = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:45 UTC
PassedState restricts me to a short here, but the only fired structure is a bullish 5m wick-and-reclaim of pwVAL $76,970 — that points long, not short, and a 5m close is never a valid named trigger anyway. The one 15m close available (10:15, below VWAP $77,020) is a minor loss-of-VWAP inside a two-hour chop range with flat 5m delta, no clean lower-low/lower-high structure, and it fades directly into pwVAL/dVAL/D-Open support ($76,929–$76,495) — a forbidden short into strong support with no room to T2. CCV bias reads long, contradicting a short outright.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:40 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long already), and there is no valid short trigger: the 15m close at 10:15 is a rejection of daily VWAP ($77,020.3) but price is sitting right on dVAL $76,927 / just above the day low $76,478 and pdL $76,389 — a short here would be fading momentum into support, which the method forbids. The actual level that fired (dVAL) reclaimed on the 5m, which is a long signal, and CCV bias is long_bias, contradicting a short. Delta 5m is flat and OI is falling into the level (weak, shorts covering) — poor reaction quality.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:35 UTC
PassedSTATE says pwVAL ($76,970) already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I will not re-take this level without a fresh, cleaner trigger. Beyond that, the reaction quality is poor: the 09:45/10:00 15m closes reclaimed pwVAL by only ~$3–$50 on tiny volume, 5m delta is flat (+5 BTC), 4h CVD is confirming_down and OI is bleeding — no real response at the level, and CCV acceptance is listed as failed despite the long bias. Price is also sitting almost exactly on daily VWAP ($77,020) in the middle of the developing day range, which is the poor-entry mid-range location the method tells me to skip.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:05 UTC
PassedThe 09:45 15m close back above pwVAL $76,970 / dVAL $76,925 is a marginal reclaim — price closed only $3 above the level with tiny volume, and the corroborating flow contradicts the long: 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m taker delta confirming_down (-18.7 BTC over 30m), CCV acceptance FAILED, and OI weakening. That is a poor reaction at the level, which is itself sufficient to pass; the reclaim of a level price is sitting exactly on offers no defined invalidation or honest 2:1 to dPOC/dVAH either.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:00 UTC
PassedThe 09:30 15m candle did close through pwVAL ($76,970) / dVAL ($76,921) / VWAP ($77,022) — a genuine downside trigger — but the method's entry is the RETEST of the broken level, and price at $76,904 is still sitting at the trigger candle's body low with no pullback back up into $76,921–76,970 yet; entering here is the extension, not the retest. Corroboration is also mixed: the snapshot CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance activated (favouring rotation up toward pdVAL/pdEQ), so a counter-bias short off this break lacks a confirmed LTF lower-high/lower-low structure change, and the break came on falling open interest (shorts covering, weak). No clean setup — pass and wait for either the retest of pwVAL or a fresh trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:45 UTC
PassedThe only named-timeframe trigger is the 09:15 15m close below pdVAL ($77,138) — but price has since dropped straight to $76,827 without any retest, so an entry here would be chasing the extension (the 5m break of dVAL $76,923 is not a valid trigger on its own). On top of that the read is contradicted: CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance activated and the developing day low ($76,478.7)/pdL ($76,389) sit only ~$400 below, so a short from here is momentum sold into support with almost no room — the bearish continuation lacks both a retest and corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:40 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m close back below pdVAL $77,138 — a bearish level-loss — but the corroboration is squarely against it: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, price is holding above daily VWAP $77,026 and the D-Open $76,494.9 after a strong reclaim off yesterday's low, funding is negative (shorts paying) and OI is falling (short covering, not new longs trapped), with 5m delta flat (no seller response at the level). That is a poor reaction on a marginal, already-thin level, and a counter-bias short here has neither a confirmed LTF structure break (no lower low yet — 76,478.7 still intact) nor room to a first reaction level worth 2:1. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m candle (08:45 UTC) that opened $0.50 above the developing POC and closed $42 below it — a nominal, near-zero-range close through a mid-range level on 10 BTC of volume, which is POC chop, not a reaction. I may only record a short here (open long on this book), but a short is contradicted on every corroborating axis: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, funding is mildly negative, 5m delta is flat (+2.6 BTC, no seller response), OI is flat, and price is above daily VWAP $77,018 with a clean series of higher lows off the $76,478 day low. Poor reaction quality at a mid-range level plus a counter-bias direction = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:00 UTC
PassedThe only recordable direction here is a short (open long on this book), and the fired trigger — the 08:30 15m wick above the developing day high/dVAH $77,429.6 closing back below at $77,338.0 — is a rejection at a *developing* intraday extreme, not a stop-rich pre-existing level, and it is directly against the corroborating flow: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, 4h CVD confirming_up, 5m delta confirming_up (+7 BTC), funding slightly negative, and price is holding above daily VWAP $77,010.5 having reclaimed the day open $76,494.9. Against the bias the method requires a confirmed LTF structure change (a lower low AND lower high on closes) or a tight scalp clearing 2:1 — neither is present; the 15m/1h structure is making higher highs and higher lows off the 76,389 low. Corroboration is the missing leg, so this is a decline, not a wait.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:45 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and the short case is weak and contradicted. The 15m that closed 08:30 did wick the developing day high/dVAH ($77,407) and close back below it, but this is a developing intraday edge on a day that opened at $76,494.9, reclaimed VWAP ($77,003.8) and pdVAL ($77,138), with CCV bias long and acceptance activated — corroboration points up, not down. Delta 5m is confirming_up (+6.4 BTC) and OI is flat, so the reaction at the level is poor for a reversal short; fading a rising day into an untested dVAH against the long bias is exactly the trade the method forbids.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:30 UTC
PassedThe fired trigger is a marginal 15m close below pdVAL ($77,138) by only ~$28 — a nominal loss of the level, not a rejection with a defined wick, and price is already back at $77,129 with the forming candle ticking up. It also points AGAINST the snapshot's long CCV bias (activated, long_bias) and against 4h CVD confirming_up, with price above daily VWAP ($76,992) and a clean sweep-and-reclaim of pdL/W-low at $76,389 yesterday — no confirmed LTF structure change (no lower low + lower high on closes) to justify a counter-bias short. Reaction quality is poor too: 12 BTC on the trigger candle and only -7 BTC of 5m delta over 30 minutes.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:15 UTC
PassedNo price action / candle data is available this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute closing trigger — and a trigger is mandatory. Additionally, STATE restricts me to shorts only, while the corroborating signals (CCV long_bias with acceptance activated, CVD confirming_up, bullish 5m delta divergence, price holding above the day open and near dPOC/dVAH) all contradict a short. Missing: a confirming close and corroboration for the only direction I am permitted to take.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 08:00 UTC