PassedNo tradeable short trigger: the market is dead-flat in a ~$150 coil (dVAH 77,326 / VWAP 77,244 / pdPOC 77,337 all stacked within $100 of price) and the only "signal" is a 15m candle that wicked below dVAH and closed back above it — a marginal reclaim, not a rejection short, and the pdPOC "loss" is a $11 close difference on 5.7 BTC of volume. Volume and delta are negligible (Δ5m flat, -3.3 BTC), CVD is confirming_up and OI is in a healthy 4h uptrend, which contradicts a short here; there is also no room between entry and the next structure (dVAL/D-Open 77,161) for a 2:1 R:R. Poor reaction quality plus conflicting corroboration = pass.View thesis →
Sep 12, 2026, 16:00 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long, T1 booked), but the trigger in play is a bullish one — the 15:30 UTC 15m candle wicked below dVAH $77,324 / pdPOC $77,337.5 and CLOSED back above both, a hold of value, not a rejection from above. There is no short trigger: no 15m close back below dVAH/dPOC, structure is a tight balance just above VWAP $77,242.6 with CVD confirming up, 5m delta flat and near-zero volume — a poor, low-participation reaction that would not justify fading into the developing value area anyway.View thesis →
Sep 12, 2026, 15:45 UTC
PassedState allows only a short on this book, but nothing short-side has triggered: the gate fired on a 5m reclaim ABOVE pdPOC $77,337.5 (a bullish reaction, not a short trigger), and the named 15m candle (15:15 close, up) contains no scanned level. Price is sitting in the middle of a very tight 300-dollar day range between dVAH $77,324/dPOC $77,223 and the day high $77,457 with CVD confirming_up and flat 5m delta — a poor, low-volume, mid-range location with no rejection close at a level. No trigger for the only direction I am permitted to take, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 12, 2026, 15:40 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no valid short trigger. The fired level is the developing day high at $77,372.0, but the 15m candle merely tagged it by a $3 wick and closed up at $77,369.0 — that is a tap, not a rejection or an SFP of a pre-existing, stop-rich level (the dHigh was made by this same candle). Price is compressed in a 200-dollar intraday balance above VWAP/dPOC with no downtrend structure to join, so neither a level-reaction short nor a with-trend continuation short is confirmed; the bearish CVD/delta divergence alone is confluence, never a trigger.View thesis →
Sep 12, 2026, 14:30 UTC
PassedSTATE allows only a long here, but nothing long has triggered: price is losing pwVAL $76,970 on a 5m close and the last closed 15m (18:30, O 77,156.7 C 77,059.4) is a DOWN candle that also lost pdVAL $77,138 — there is no reclaim close back above pwVAL, no sweep-and-reclaim of the day low, and no bullish 15m trigger of any kind. Delta 5m and 4h CVD are both confirming_down into the level, so a long would be fading active selling with no confirming close — the missing element is the trigger (and corroboration).View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 18:55 UTC
PassedThe gate's pdVAL ($77,138) reclaim is only a 5m wick-and-close and the 15m at 18:30 merely opened below and closed above by $19 — that is drift through a level, not a rejection or a confirmed reclaim trigger, and this same pd_val level already fired within the last 30 minutes, so a re-take requires a fresh trigger which has not printed. Corroboration also fails for a long: price is below daily VWAP ($77,652) after a failed auction of the day high at $79,917, 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is a bearish divergence (-52.5 BTC) and OI is bleeding, and I already hold an open short on this book with T1 booked. Reaction quality at the level is poor (3.9 BTC on the last 15m), so I decline rather than wait.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 18:35 UTC
PassedThe only trigger available is a thin 15m reclaim close back above pdVAL $77,138 (18:15 candle, 35 BTC), but the reaction quality is poor and the flow contradicts the long: 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m taker delta confirming_down (-69 BTC/30m), OI bleeding on short-covering, and price has just lost daily VWAP $77,653 and dVAL $76,641 territory after a full round-trip from the $79,917 spike — i.e. a failing upside auction, not an accepted reclaim. With an open short (T1 booked) on this book, only a long is permitted, and this marginal, low-volume reclaim into overhead supply (dPOC $77,337, VWAP $77,653) is not the confirmation the method requires.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 18:30 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no confirmed short trigger: the pwPOC $79,706.5 sweep-and-close-back is only a 5m close (14:00 UTC), and the named 15m timeframe has not printed a rejection close — the 13:45 15m candle closed UP through pdH/M-Open/dVAH and the 14:00 15m candle is still FORMING. A counter-trend short also fights the corroboration: CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up, Delta 5m confirming_up (+124.5 BTC) and a vertical impulse off the 75,907.5 low. No trigger and contradicted signals = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 14:05 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable and the TRIGGER FACTS block shows no named 15-minute close I can cite, so there is no confirmed trigger — only proximity to the developing day high ($79,273.1) at spot $79,271.1. On top of that, the only trade I may record on this book is a short, and a short here would be fading an uptrend (CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +130 BTC) straight into a fresh high with no sweep-reclaim close back below the level. Missing element: the confirming trigger, plus corroboration against the short side.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 14:00 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no short setup: price is ripping vertically higher (15m 13:30 closed up through pdEQ, pmVAH, dPOC, dVAH and daily VWAP, 5m reclaiming pdVAH $78,473 from below), with CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up and 5m delta +124.5 BTC — every signal contradicts a short. Fading this momentum into the developing day high / pdH breakout is exactly the forbidden trade; no bearish trigger (no reclaim close back below pdVAH or pdH, no lower-high/lower-low structure) has printed.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:55 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long with T1 booked), but there is no short trigger: the 13:45 15m candle CLOSED UP through pdEQ, dPOC, VWAP, pmVAH and dVAH, and the 5m closed above pdPOC $78,304.5 — every confirmed close is bullish. CCV bias is long, CVD and 5m delta are confirming up, and price is making fresh day highs into pdH/M-Open — shorting that would be fading momentum into a breakout with no rejection or reclaim close at any level.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:50 UTC
PassedThe confirmed 15m trigger (13:30 close, sweeping pdEQ/dPOC lows at $77,188.7 and closing $77,814.4 back above dVAH $77,554 and pmVAH $77,682) is a LONG-side reclaim, corroborated by CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up and +delta — but STATE shows an open long on this book with T1 unbooked, so only a short may be recorded, and there is no bearish trigger: no 15m close back below dVAH/pmVAH, and shorting into an up-closing reclaim against long bias would be fading momentum. No valid short setup exists.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:45 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short could be recorded — but the only short-side structure here is the 15m 13:15/13:30 rejection of pmVAH $77,682 / dVAH $77,540, and that read is contradicted by the corroborating signals: CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up, 5m delta confirming_up, and a strong impulsive 1H reclaim off the $75,907.5 sweep. Shorting into an up-trending, positive-delta tape just above VWAP $77,090 and dPOC $77,337 (support beneath) would be fading momentum with no confirmed lower-low/lower-high structure change, and the gate's actual trigger (5m reclaim of dPOC) is a long-side signal that cannot be taken here.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:40 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and the short read is not corroborated: CCV bias is long_bias, 4h CVD is confirming_up, and OI is falling (short covering), so a fade of a strong 1H reclaim candle (12:00 UTC closed up off a 75,907.5 sweep) is counter-bias with no confirmed LTF structure change (no lower low AND lower high). The 13:15/13:30 15m candles are just chop under pmVAH/dVAH — a small rejection wick with flat 5m delta (+4 BTC) is a poor reaction, not a tradeable trigger, and the nearest downside objective (VWAP 77,084 / dPOC 77,337) sits too close for an honest 2:1 with a stop above 77,780.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:35 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short may be recorded — and a short here is not supportable: the gate's 15m candle (13:15 UTC close) did reject pmVAH $77,682 from above, but the broader read contradicts the short (CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up +595.9 BTC, and a violent 12:30 15m reclaim of the dLow/$75,907.5 sweep that closed up +$1,600). Shorting into that fresh sweep-reclaim thrust with the day's momentum and bias against me is fading strength; Delta 5m is flat (-4.3 BTC), so there is no aggressive-flow corroboration for the rejection either.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:30 UTC
PassedSTATE says pmVAH ($77,682) already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I will not re-take this level without a fresh trigger. Beyond that, the only "trigger" here is a 5m wick-and-close-back below pmVAH — no 15m rejection candle has closed as a clean short trigger at the level (the 13:00 15m close is just a pullback inside the impulse), and the broader signals contradict the short: CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up, funding only mildly positive, and price just ripped off a sweep of the day low at $75,907.5 into a strong up leg. A short into that is fading momentum without corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:25 UTC
PassedThe only recordable direction here is a short (this book already holds an open long), and a short has no clean case: the 15m 13:00 close below pmVAH $77,682 is a marginal rejection inside a violent bullish impulse — the 12:30 candle swept the day low $75,907.5 and reclaimed with a 1H close up at $77,961.7, CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +114 BTC, CCV long_bias and funding barely positive. Shorting that is fading momentum straight against the bias and against a fresh failed-auction low reclaim, with no confirmed LTF structure change (no lower low AND lower high on closes). Corroboration is the missing leg, so I decline rather than wait.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 13:15 UTC