PassedThe only trigger present is a 15m candle (01:15 UTC) that wicked dVAH $76,871 and closed back below VWAP $76,753.6 — a minor rejection in a $200-wide overnight chop band where dPOC $76,702.5, VWAP $76,753.6 and dVAL $76,662 are all stacked within $90 of each other and of price. That is fair-value middle-of-range, not a location: any short has its first real objective at dLow/D-Open $76,478.9 with invalidation above the dVAH wick $76,895, which is barely 1:1 and fails the floor. Corroboration is also mixed — CCV bias reads long_bias and OI is flat, against a short — so no clean setup here.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 01:30 UTC
PassedThe only fired trigger is a 5m VWAP reclaim, and a 5m close can never be the named trigger — the 15m that closed at 01:15 actually closed DOWN, rejecting the developing VAH/day high ($76,897/$76,947.7), which points the other way from the VWAP long. Signals also conflict: CCV reads long_bias while 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is flat (no reaction quality at VWAP), and OI is flat — a poor reaction at the level. With price wedged between dVAL $76,648 and dVAH $76,897 there is no clean level-reaction and no honest 2:1 to a major objective in either direction.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 01:25 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 15m candle that merely tagged the developing day high ($76,870.8) — a level that is itself the current extreme of a 40-minute bounce off the day low, not a pre-existing, stop-rich swept level, so there is no valid sweep-reclaim. The 15m close above dPOC/dVAH/VWAP is a thrust with no retest yet, and it points long into a market whose daily/4H structure is clearly down (yesterday closed at the low, 4H closed down, CVD confirming_down), so corroboration is missing and CCV long_bias conflicts with the bearish tape. Overnight volume is negligible (0.0–8 BTC per candle) and 5m delta is flat +3.7 BTC — a poor reaction that fails the reaction-quality bar on its own.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 01:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close through dVAH ($76,783), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger, and the last CLOSED 15m candle (00:45 UTC) actually closed BELOW both dVAH and dPOC — i.e. the named-timeframe evidence contradicts the long. On top of that, STATE shows this dVAH level was already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I require a fresh 15m trigger. Volume into this level is negligible (7 BTC on the 5m thrust), Delta 5m is flat (+2.5 BTC) and 4h CVD is confirming_down after a -1.59% day that closed on the lows — a poor reaction at the level, so no trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:55 UTC
PassedThe fired level is daily VWAP ($76,679.9) but the "trigger" is a $30 wick-and-close inside a $76,620–76,807 chop band on almost no volume — the 15m 00:30 candle closed BELOW dPOC while reclaiming VWAP/dVAL, so the level interaction is contradictory, not a clean rejection. Corroboration is also missing: 4H CVD confirming_down, daily/4H structure one-time-framing lower off $78,489 into a fresh pdL sweep, yet CCV bias reads long — and Delta 5m is flat (+0.6 BTC), a poor, no-response reaction at the level. No structural target exists within reach that clears 2:1 from a stop below $76,478 dLow, so there is no clean trade here.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:45 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 5m wick-and-reclaim of daily VWAP — a 5m close is never the named trigger on this book, and the 15m candle that closed at 00:30 merely held dPOC while rejecting dVAH/dHigh, i.e. a two-sided $100 chop inside a $76,478–76,807 opening balance. Price is pinned at VWAP/dPOC — the mid, explicitly a no-trade location — with the daily/4H structure still one-time-framing down (yesterday closed on its low) while CCV bias reads long: conflicting signals, no with-trend pullback in open space, and no swept defined level reclaimed. No qualifying 15m trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:35 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" is a 15m wick of the developing dVAH/dHigh ($76,807) by 50 cents on 6.4 BTC — a trivial, low-volume touch of a level formed minutes ago in the first half-hour of a new day, not an obvious, stop-rich pre-existing level worth fading; reaction quality is poor (Delta 5m flat at -1 BTC, no response at all). Corroboration also conflicts: CCV bias reads long_bias and price just reclaimed dPOC and VWAP from below, so a short here fades into the day's fresh low/pdL ($76,389) area, while a long has no triggered level-reaction of its own. No clean setup — missing both a quality level-reaction and corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:30 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no valid long trigger. The 15m candle that just closed (00:00 UTC) rejected the developing POC/VAH ($76,758.5/$76,788.0) — wicked above and closed below — which is a bearish reaction at the level, not a long trigger; the day is a fresh, brand-new session with only 15 minutes of data, so the dev value edges are noise-level. HTF structure is a clear downtrend (daily closed down hard at $76,494.9, 4H one-time-framing lower, CVD confirming_down, OI flat with a strong 24h downtrend backdrop), so a long here would be counter-trend into the top of the 15m range with no swept level reclaimed and no corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:15 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no confirming 15-minute trigger for one: the last closed 15m candle (23:45 UTC) closed DOWN through dPOC/dVAH/dVWAP at $76,494.9, i.e. it rejects the long case rather than confirming it. The reclaim above dVAH $76,586.0 exists only on a 5m close (00:05 UTC) and the current 15m candle is still FORMING — a 5m close is never the named trigger. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is flat/negative, and price is in a fresh daily downtrend into pdL/pwL $76,389/$76,178.9, so a long here would be fading momentum into an unconfirmed reclaim.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:10 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and no long trigger has printed on the named 15-minute timeframe: the last closed 15m (23:45) closed DOWN through dPOC/dVAL/VWAP and the day open, and the only bullish evidence is a 5m reclaim of dPOC ($76,586.8) plus a 5m bullish delta divergence — a 1m/5m close is never the trigger. Structure is a clean downtrend (4h and daily closed down, 4h CVD confirming_down, fresh day/week lows at $76,389), so a long here fades momentum into the lows with no confirming 15m reclaim close.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedNo price action / candle data is available at all this period, so there is no named 15-minute trigger candle I can cite — neither a reclaim close at pdL/pwL nor a with-trend close. Only a long may be recorded on this book, yet price is pinned at the day open ($76,494.9) and just above the pdL/wLow ($76,389), with CVD confirming down and OI flat — no confirmed reaction or reclaim to corroborate a long. Missing element: the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:00 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no clean long trigger. The "sweep" cited is of the developing day low — a fresh extreme made minutes ago, not a pre-existing, obvious stop-rich level, so it fails the sweep-reclaim location test; the 23:00 15m candle closed DOWN making the low, it is not a reclaim close back across a defined level. Flow contradicts a long anyway: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -64.1 BTC into the low, price below daily VWAP $77,598.9 and below all developing value, with pwL $76,178.9 / pmL $76,178.9 still untested below.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 23:15 UTC
PassedNo price action is available this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute closed trigger candle — and TRIGGER FACTS shows no confirming close to cite. Additionally, state shows an open long on this book, so only a short could be recorded, yet the CCV bias is long_bias with a bullish CVD divergence and flat 5m delta into dVAL/pmVAL support ($77,204/$77,109) — a short here would be fading momentum into support against the bias with no corroboration. Missing element: the confirming trigger (and corroboration for the only permitted direction).View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 15m candle drifting $20 below dVAL ($77,208) on 4 BTC of volume in a dead late-session tape — that is a poor reaction, not a rejection: no delta response (Δ 5m flat, -2.9 BTC), flat OI, and volume near zero. Corroboration also contradicts a short: CCV bias is long_bias, 4h CVD is confirming_up, and price is sitting right on the developing VAL / just under VWAP after a flush to $76,604 — i.e. into support, where fading momentum is forbidden. With only a short permitted on this book (open long already), there is no clean, corroborated short setup.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded (an open long already sits on this book), but the 15m trigger at dVAL $77,208 is a bullish rejection (wick below, close ABOVE at $77,237.3) — there is no confirming 15m close BELOW dVAL to trigger a short, and the CCV bias reads long_bias with CVD confirming_up, so a short is contradicted by the corroborating signals. This dev_val level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, which demands a fresh trigger I do not have. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 20:50 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short may be recorded — and there is no short setup here: the only trigger is a bullish 15m reclaim of the developing VAL ($77,208), a LONG-side signal, and the corroborating context (CCV long_bias armed, CVD confirming_up, OI healthy_uptrend, funding neutral +0.010%) all points up, contradicting any short. Volume into the level is negligible (sub-1 BTC 1m prints, Delta 5m flat +3.9 BTC), a poor reaction that is itself sufficient to stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 15m candle that poked $77,230.7 and closed at $77,190.1 — a $20 wobble either side of dVAL $77,210, on 3.4 BTC of volume: a non-event, not a rejection with any reaction quality (no delta response, OI flat, dead late-Sunday-style volume). Direction is also wrong for the book: I may only record a short here, yet CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance armed and 4h CVD confirming_up, and price is sitting on developing VAL just above the day low $76,603.8 / pwVAL $76,970 — shorting into that cluster of support is fading momentum into a strong level, which is forbidden. No clean setup: corroboration and reaction quality both missing.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 19:45 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no clean short trigger: the 18:45 15m candle merely wicked $77,240 and closed $77,195.6 just under the developing dVAL ($77,220) — a marginal in-range chop close, not a rejection with a defined stop, and price has spent the last two hours grinding sideways above the 76,603.8 flush low. Corroboration also contradicts a short: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed, CVD shows a bullish divergence, Delta 5m is flat (no seller response into the level), and the nearest support cluster (dLow 76,603.8 / pwVAL 76,970 / mVAL 77,109) sits immediately below — shorting into that is the forbidden fade into support. Passing on missing trigger quality plus conflicting signals.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 19:00 UTC
PassedNo valid 15-minute trigger: the gate fired on a 5m wick/close at dVAL $77,222, and the last closed 15m (18:30, O 77,009.7 C 77,095.5) contains no scanned level — a 5m close can only corroborate, never be the named trigger. A short here would also be counter to the snapshot's long_bias/CCV armed and the bullish CVD divergence, and price is sitting just above the freshly flushed day low $76,603.8, which forbids fading momentum into support. STATE also shows an open long on this book, so only a short could be recorded — and no confirmed short trigger exists.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 18:55 UTC