PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short may be recorded — and there is no short case here: the 12:30 15m candle swept pdL/dVAL/D-Open at $75,907.5 and closed back above them (a textbook bullish sweep-reclaim), price has since reclaimed VWAP, dPOC, pdEQ and pmVAH, with CVD confirming_up, 5m delta +100 BTC and a long CCV bias. Shorting into that reclaim would be fading momentum against the bias with no rejection trigger at any resistance (dHigh $78,033.6 / pdPOC-nPOC $78,304.5 have printed no rejection close).View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:50 UTC
PassedThe dPOC at $77,337.5 was already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so this level requires a fresh trigger by rule — and the only 15m candle that CLOSED (12:15 UTC) closed at $77,033.4, BELOW dPOC, not through it; the break above is being made by a still-FORMING 12:30/12:45 candle plus a 5m close, which is never the named trigger. On top of that, price is at the developing day high ($77,572.5) after a violent V-reversal off the $75,907.5 flush, so any long here would be chasing the extension rather than a retest, and the 5m delta is a bearish divergence (-29.5 BTC) against the new high — poor reaction quality at the level.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:40 UTC
PassedThe dVAL/pwVAL sweep-reclaim idea is structurally there — the 12:30 flush to $75,907.5 swept dVAL $76,753 and pwVAL $76,970 and the 15m closed back above pwVAL — but STATE says this exact dev_val level already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I will not re-take it without a fresh, separate trigger. On top of that the corroboration is split: 5m taker delta is a bearish divergence (-75.2 BTC) into the reclaim, open interest is falling (shorts covering, not trapped longs), and the named trigger candle is a $1,440-range spike candle whose stop (below $75,907.5) against a realistic T2 at dPOC/dVAH ~$77,340 leaves under 1:1 R:R. No clean, fresh setup.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:35 UTC
PassedThe named 15m trigger (12:15 close) is stale relative to what just happened: the in-flight 12:30 candle spiked to $77,350 and then collapsed to $75,907.5 — a violent sweep of the developing day low ($76,478.7), day open ($76,494.9) and pwL ($76,178.9) — and that candle is FORMING, so no reclaim close exists yet. The dPOC rejection the gate fired on is now invalidated by price trading $1,000 below it, and shorting into a freshly flushed low is the forbidden fade; the long side has no confirmed reclaim close back above pwVAL/dVAL. No valid trigger in either direction.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 UTC
PassedThe 15m candle closing 12:15 did close below VWAP ($76,989), pwVAL ($76,970) and dVAL ($76,889) — structurally a bearish rejection — but the read is contradicted, not corroborated: CCV bias reads long_bias, 5m taker delta is flat/slightly positive (+15.7 BTC) with no downside response, open interest is a weakening downtrend (-0.39% 4h, -1.07% 24h, shorts covering rather than new sellers), and funding is neutral. That is a poor reaction at the level, and price is sitting only ~$100 above the pdL/W-Low cluster ($76,389/$76,478 day low) — shorting into that support is fading momentum into a strong level, which the method forbids. A long here is equally unsupported: no reclaim close back above dVAL/VWAP has printed. Missing piece: corroboration and reaction quality.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:15 UTC
PassedNo clean trigger: the only 15m close available (11:45 UTC) closed marginally back above pwVAL/VWAP but price has already slipped back beneath both, so the reclaim is unconfirmed and the gate's VWAP break is only a 5m close, which can never be the named trigger. Structurally price is chopping in a tight $76,675–$77,430 balance right at daily VWAP/pwVAL — the middle of the range — with CCV acceptance failed, 4h CVD confirming down against the stated long_bias, and 5m delta confirming up: conflicting signals with no edge. Volume into the level is thin and open interest is bleeding, a poor reaction that argues for standing aside.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:10 UTC
PassedThis pwVAL ($76,970) level already fired within the last 30 minutes and the STATE block forbids re-taking it without a fresh trigger — and the only "trigger" here is a 5m wick-and-reclaim plus a 15m close that merely crawled $7 above the level, not a decisive rejection. Structure is also unsupportive: 4h/daily are in a clear downtrend (yesterday closed on its low at $76,494.9, price below pdVAL, below dPOC/dVAH), 4h CVD is confirming_down, and CCV acceptance has FAILED so the long_bias reads as unconfirmed. Price is sitting exactly on daily VWAP $76,990.7 in the middle of the day's range — no clean location, no clean trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:05 UTC
PassedThe 11:45 15m candle did close back above pwVAL $76,970 (and dVAL $76,889), but that close IS the trigger, not the entry — price at $76,952 is currently sitting just BELOW the reclaimed level, so there is no confirmed hold/retest yet, and the reclaim is a single low-volume 15m close (21 BTC) into a day that just closed down hard with 4H CVD confirming down and OI weakening. Corroboration is mixed rather than clean (CCV long_bias and 5m delta up vs. daily lower-low structure, price below VWAP $76,990.9 and CCV acceptance failed), so this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 12:00 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on dVAL ($76,887) but the only rejection is a 5m wick-and-close-below — the named-TF facts confirm the last closed 15m candle (11:30 UTC, O 76,777.2 C 76,840.7) contains no scanned level, so there is no 15-minute trigger at dVAL or anywhere else. Price is also chopping in a $76,675–$77,430 range beneath VWAP ($76,991.6) with a long CCV bias but failed acceptance — direction is contradicted, not corroborated. No confirming 15m close = no trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 11:50 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long already), and there is no clean short trigger: the 10:30 15m candle closed BELOW pwVAL $76,970 but immediately wicked and held above dVAL $76,929 — a two-sided, low-volume chop between overlapping levels, not a rejection. Delta 5m is flat (-1.5 BTC) with no seller response, OI is falling (short covering, weakening downtrend), and the CCV bias is long — a counter-bias short into the day low/D-Open ($76,479/$76,495) support just beneath is exactly the fade-into-support the method forbids. No confirming 15m close through the level with corroboration = pass.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:45 UTC
PassedState restricts me to a short here, but the only fired structure is a bullish 5m wick-and-reclaim of pwVAL $76,970 — that points long, not short, and a 5m close is never a valid named trigger anyway. The one 15m close available (10:15, below VWAP $77,020) is a minor loss-of-VWAP inside a two-hour chop range with flat 5m delta, no clean lower-low/lower-high structure, and it fades directly into pwVAL/dVAL/D-Open support ($76,929–$76,495) — a forbidden short into strong support with no room to T2. CCV bias reads long, contradicting a short outright.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:40 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book (open long already), and there is no valid short trigger: the 15m close at 10:15 is a rejection of daily VWAP ($77,020.3) but price is sitting right on dVAL $76,927 / just above the day low $76,478 and pdL $76,389 — a short here would be fading momentum into support, which the method forbids. The actual level that fired (dVAL) reclaimed on the 5m, which is a long signal, and CCV bias is long_bias, contradicting a short. Delta 5m is flat and OI is falling into the level (weak, shorts covering) — poor reaction quality.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:35 UTC
PassedSTATE says pwVAL ($76,970) already fired and was attempted within the last 30 minutes, so I will not re-take this level without a fresh, cleaner trigger. Beyond that, the reaction quality is poor: the 09:45/10:00 15m closes reclaimed pwVAL by only ~$3–$50 on tiny volume, 5m delta is flat (+5 BTC), 4h CVD is confirming_down and OI is bleeding — no real response at the level, and CCV acceptance is listed as failed despite the long bias. Price is also sitting almost exactly on daily VWAP ($77,020) in the middle of the developing day range, which is the poor-entry mid-range location the method tells me to skip.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:05 UTC
PassedThe 09:45 15m close back above pwVAL $76,970 / dVAL $76,925 is a marginal reclaim — price closed only $3 above the level with tiny volume, and the corroborating flow contradicts the long: 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m taker delta confirming_down (-18.7 BTC over 30m), CCV acceptance FAILED, and OI weakening. That is a poor reaction at the level, which is itself sufficient to pass; the reclaim of a level price is sitting exactly on offers no defined invalidation or honest 2:1 to dPOC/dVAH either.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 10:00 UTC
PassedThe 09:30 15m candle did close through pwVAL ($76,970) / dVAL ($76,921) / VWAP ($77,022) — a genuine downside trigger — but the method's entry is the RETEST of the broken level, and price at $76,904 is still sitting at the trigger candle's body low with no pullback back up into $76,921–76,970 yet; entering here is the extension, not the retest. Corroboration is also mixed: the snapshot CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance activated (favouring rotation up toward pdVAL/pdEQ), so a counter-bias short off this break lacks a confirmed LTF lower-high/lower-low structure change, and the break came on falling open interest (shorts covering, weak). No clean setup — pass and wait for either the retest of pwVAL or a fresh trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:45 UTC
PassedThe only named-timeframe trigger is the 09:15 15m close below pdVAL ($77,138) — but price has since dropped straight to $76,827 without any retest, so an entry here would be chasing the extension (the 5m break of dVAL $76,923 is not a valid trigger on its own). On top of that the read is contradicted: CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance activated and the developing day low ($76,478.7)/pdL ($76,389) sit only ~$400 below, so a short from here is momentum sold into support with almost no room — the bearish continuation lacks both a retest and corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:40 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m close back below pdVAL $77,138 — a bearish level-loss — but the corroboration is squarely against it: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance activated, price is holding above daily VWAP $77,026 and the D-Open $76,494.9 after a strong reclaim off yesterday's low, funding is negative (shorts paying) and OI is falling (short covering, not new longs trapped), with 5m delta flat (no seller response at the level). That is a poor reaction on a marginal, already-thin level, and a counter-bias short here has neither a confirmed LTF structure break (no lower low yet — 76,478.7 still intact) nor room to a first reaction level worth 2:1. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 09:30 UTC