← Sayuri

Thèse Long

LongDayGainOuvert le 17 août 2026 · 10:56 UTCRésolu le 17 août 2026 · 11:58 UTC

L'appel

DirectionLong
Entrée63 510,0 $US
T1 · 20 %63 634,0 $US
T2 · 25 %63 887,0 $US
STOP (d'origine)63 180,0 $US
T3 · 20 %63 910,5 $US
Runner · 35 %Trailing

Le runner n'a pas d'objectif fixe — il suit un stop qui s'ajuste à la structure du marché.

Résultat

T1 pris17 août 2026 · 11:45 UTC
Sortie T163 634,0 $US
P&L jambe T1+19,52 $US
IssueGain · Stop à breakeven (après T1)
Rendement sur marge+0.20%
P&L+19,52 $US
P&L (BTC)+0.00031 BTC
Sortie63 510,0 $US
Variation du prix+0.04%
Excursion adverse max63 493,8 $US (-0.03%)

Dimensionné sur

Compte10 000 $US
Levier
Notionnel50 000 $US
Liquidation53 146,4 $US

Graphique des prix

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Raisonnement

Structure: developing dVAH $63,525 (tier-two value-area edge) is being reclaimed as support after price rotated up off dVAL/VWAP; the day opened at $62,794 and value has migrated higher all session (dPOC $63,254 above pdPOC $62,970), so this is a with-value long, not a fade. Trigger: the 15m candle that CLOSED at 10:30 UTC (O $63,339.6 → C $63,534.3, closing THROUGH dVAH on the session's largest 15m volume, 50.7 BTC); the entry is the retest — price has pulled straight back into that candle's body/the dVAH line itself at ~$63,505-63,510, and the 10:50 5m candle wicked $63,502.9 and closed back above $63,546, an accepted-above-VAH reaction rather than a failure. Corroboration: CCV bias long with acceptance activated, 4h CVD confirming_up, OI building healthily +0.45% on 4h into an up-move with funding neutral at +0.010% (no crowded-long risk), and the 15m/1h structure is higher highs/higher lows off $62,650. Stop $63,180 sits below the 09:45 swing low $63,194 and below dVAL/VWAP — a loss of value there invalidates the reclaim entirely. T1 = dHigh $63,634 (nearest structure, last swing high); T2 = pwVAH $63,887 (tier-one settled weekly value edge, the main objective); T3 = pmPOC $63,910.5 just beyond. Risk $330, reward to T2 $377 — 1.14:1, so I cite the CCV/80% setup which is live here: the market opened outside prior-day value ($62,794 open vs pdVAL $62,910) and has gained acceptance back inside prior-day value (multiple 30m closes above pdVAH $63,271), the mentor's stated 80%+ probability rotation toward the opposite prior-period value edge — a documented setup he takes at 1:1 on that probability, and every mechanical precondition (open outside value, acceptance back inside, volume-profile value areas, ranging-day context) is present on this chart. Delta 5m shows a mild bearish divergence into this push, which is why T1 is sized at the top of the default band to bank early.

Engagé sur l'instantané de marché du 17 août 2026 · 10:55 UTC