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The 00:45 UTC 5m candle did confirm a rejection of daily VWAP at $63,747.3, but a short would enter directly into the developing VAL/weekly VAH support cluster at $63,710–$63,615 and a freshly flushed $63,628.5 low. Broader confirmation is also mixed: confirming-down CVD and positive funding favor the short, while CCV long bias, bullish 5m delta divergence, Fear sentiment, and weakening-downtrend OI oppose it; the honest T2 at $63,615 gives under 1:1 R:R versus invalidation above the $63,788.1 rejection wick.

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