PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle (03:15 close) holding above the developing POC / D-Open — a mid-range, fair-value location the method explicitly says not to open new positions at, not a strong support. Price is chopping in a $78,244–78,479 box between VWAP $78,128 below and dVAH $78,378 above, so there is no established trend for a continuation entry and no swept, obvious level for a sweep-reclaim. Corroboration is also mixed: CCV reads long_bias but 4h CVD is a bearish divergence and 5m delta is confirming_down (-82.3 BTC), i.e. flow fading price at the level — a poor reaction that is itself sufficient reason to stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 03:40 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a trivial 15m wick-and-reclaim of the D-Open at $78,265.6 on almost no volume (9.4 BTC, 5m delta flat at -5.4 BTC over 30m) — a poor reaction with no delta response, not a stop-rich swept level. Structurally price is chopping in a tight $77,877–$78,479 band between dVAH $78,165 and the day high, i.e. mid-range with no established trend to continue and no clean level reaction; the 4h CVD reads bearish divergence against the CCV long bias, so corroboration is mixed. Nearest real objective (D-nPOC/pdPOC $78,733.5) versus an honest stop below dLow $77,877 does not clear 2:1 either.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 03:30 UTC
PassedThe fired level is the developing day high $78,479.1 — but the "sweep" is really just the high being made by that same 15m candle (the high IS the dHigh), not a wick through a pre-existing, stop-rich level; there is no prior structure being swept, so the SFP/failed-auction location requirement fails. Beyond that, the read is conflicted: CCV bias is long_bias with OI building on a healthy 4h uptrend and price holding above VWAP $78,086 and D-Open $78,265.6, which contradicts a short, while CVD and 5m delta are bearishly diverging against a long. Price is mid-value between dVAH $78,159 and the dHigh with no clean trigger either way — a no-trade zone.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 03:15 UTC
PassedPrice action is unavailable this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute candle that CLOSED through or rejected any level — the trigger requirement is entirely unverifiable, and the method forbids entering on proximity alone. Price at $78,287 is also sat in the middle of the developing profile (just above dVAH $78,149 / VWAP $78,073, just below D-Open $78,266 and dHigh $78,446), which is POC-chop no-trade territory. Signals also conflict: CCV bias reads long and OI is building, but 4h CVD and the 5m delta both print bearish divergence.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 03:00 UTC
PassedThe only closed 15m trigger (02:45 UTC) reclaimed VWAP $78,072 and dVAH $78,147, but price has run straight on to $78,284 — through the D-Open $78,265.6 — with no pullback, so any long here is the extension, not the retest, which this method forbids. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD is a bearish divergence and the 5m taker delta is -92.6 BTC into this push (price making a higher high while delta fades), which contradicts a fresh long at the day open. The nearest overhead objective (dHigh $78,446 / pdPOC $78,733) does not give a clean 2:1 from here with an honest stop below $77,877.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 02:55 UTC
PassedThe only trigger is a 15m close (02:30–02:45) reclaiming dVAH $78,121 and VWAP $78,047.8 — but that is a close THROUGH the level with no retest yet: price at $78,208 is the extension above the trigger, not the pullback into it, and entering here is the chased trade. Reaction quality is also poor: the reclaim came on ~4 BTC of volume while the heavy volume (75 BTC, 123 BTC) printed on the down legs, and both 4h CVD and 5m delta (-70.7 BTC/30m) are bearish divergences fading the push, which contradicts the long the CCV long_bias would otherwise favour. No clean, corroborated setup — pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 02:45 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle that wicked below the developing POC ($77,938.5) and closed $25 above it — but the dPOC sits mid-range, effectively at fair value, and the method explicitly says not to open new positions at the POC. It is also not an obvious, stop-rich swept level (dVAL $77,878 / dLow $77,877 sit right at the wick, so the "level" is really just the developing low with no reclaim of a defined prior structure). Corroboration is missing too: 4h CVD confirming_down and 5m taker delta -72.2 BTC are both fading the reclaim, so the long lacks flow confirmation despite the CCV long_bias — a poor reaction at the level is itself sufficient to pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 02:30 UTC
PassedThe only trigger on offer is a 15m candle (02:00 close) that wicked $15 below the developing dVAL ($77,951) and closed $29 above it — a micro-reclaim of a developing value-area edge, not an obvious, stop-rich, pre-existing level, and on near-zero volume (1.8 BTC) with no meaningful delta response. That is a poor reaction at a weak location: no failed auction, no time spent beyond, no corroboration. Broader read also conflicts: 4H CVD is a bearish divergence and 1m/5m/15m structure is making lower highs beneath VWAP $78,091.7 and D-Open $78,265.6, while CCV bias reads long — so the directional read is unclear either way. Waiting for a real reaction at pdL/pwVAL below ($77,700 / $76,970) or a reclaim of VWAP/D-Open above.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 02:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close below dVAL $77,997 — but a 5m close is never the named trigger, and STATE confirms this same dev_val level was already attempted within the last 30 minutes, so a fresh 15m trigger is required. The only recent 15m close (01:30 candle) actually wicked BELOW dVAL/VWAP/dLow and closed back ABOVE them — a bullish reclaim, i.e. the opposite side of the short the gate flagged — so the 15m structure contradicts a downside break here. With CCV bias long, a bullish 5m delta divergence (+100 BTC) against price probing the day low, and no confirmed 15m close through the level in either direction from the current price, there is no clean trigger: this is a watch, not a trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:55 UTC
PassedThe only structure here is a marginal VWAP/dPOC straddle: the 01:30 15m candle opened a dollar above VWAP ($78,120.8) and closed $19 below it — that is noise, not a rejection, and price is now sitting right back on VWAP/dPOC in the middle of a 78,065–78,292 developing value area. That is the no-trade zone of the profile, with no clean level-reaction trigger and no established trend (1m/5m/15m are chopping sideways). Signals also conflict: CCV bias is long and 5m delta shows a bullish divergence into the 77,877 dip, while 4h CVD is confirming_down and OI is bleeding — no corroborated direction, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:45 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5-minute wick-and-reclaim of the developing POC ($77,897.5), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the last CLOSED 15m candle (01:15 UTC) simply closed down through VWAP/dVAH/D-Open, i.e. the only named-timeframe trigger points SHORT, not long, and price is currently sitting right at dPOC/dVAL support ($77,877–77,897) where fading momentum into support is forbidden. STATE also shows this dev_poc level already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh 15-minute trigger; on top of that CCV bias is long while flow (CVD confirming_down, 5m delta −21.8 BTC) is down — conflicting signals with no clean location.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:40 UTC
PassedThe only structure here is a marginal 15m close ($78,121.0) sitting right on the developing VAL ($78,120.0) — a $1 "reclaim" of a developing level in the middle of a $78,045–$78,446 chop range, not a swept, obvious, stop-rich level. Trend is not established (1m/5m/15m are sideways, price is oscillating around VWAP/D-Open), and flow contradicts a long: 4h CVD confirming_down, 5m delta flat (+2 BTC/30m) with near-zero volume — a poor, no-conviction reaction. No qualifying trigger for either a level-reaction, a continuation or a sweep-reclaim; corroboration is missing too.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:30 UTC
PassedThe only structure here is a $200-wide developing value area on an ultra-thin overnight tape (last 15m candle traded 18 BTC): the 01:15 15m candle wicked dVAL $78,122 and closed back above, but that same candle also wicked dVAH/dHigh $78,446 and closed back below — it is a two-sided inside-value candle, not a clean reaction at a level, and price is now sitting essentially on VWAP $78,231 / dPOC $78,250, i.e. the middle of the range, which the method calls a no-trade zone. Corroboration is also split: CCV bias is long while the 4h CVD reads bearish divergence and OI is a weakening downtrend, and a long from mid-value to the nearest real objective (pdPOC/D-nPOC $78,733) against a stop below $77,700 does not clear 2:1. No tier-one level is in reach with a clean trigger, so I pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:25 UTC
PassedPrice is pinned inside a $200 coil around D-Open $78,265.6 / VWAP $78,233 / dPOC $78,250.5 — the definition of mid-value, no-trade territory, and the 15m that closed at 01:15 is a doji-ish inside-value close, not a rejection of or acceptance through any level. The only "trigger" is a 5m close back below the day open, which cannot serve as the named trigger, and there is no established trend to join (1m/5m/15m are chopping sideways with flat 5m delta +2.3 BTC and thin overnight volume). Corroboration is also mixed: CCV reads long_bias with acceptance armed while 4h CVD shows bearish divergence and OI is only short-covering, so neither direction is cleanly supported — poor reaction quality at the level, so I pass rather than force a coin-flip in the middle of the developing value area.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:20 UTC
PassedPrice is pinned in the middle of a very tight developing value area — dPOC $78,250.5, VWAP $78,240.1 and D-Open $78,265.6 all sit within $30 of the $78,271 last price, which is the definition of the no-trade middle of the profile. The only "trigger" is a 1m/15m reclaim of a level price never really left (the 15m closed back inside dVAH/dVAL after wicking both edges), so there is no genuine level-reaction: no swept, obvious prior level and no with-trend structure (1m/5m/15m are chopping, delta flat +4.3 BTC, OI just short-covering). Any honest T2 (dVAH $78,329 or dVAL $78,116) sits within the noise band and fails the 2:1 floor against a stop beyond the $78,446/$78,045 day extremes.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close through the developing POC ($78,250.5), but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book — the most recent CLOSED 15m candle (00:45 UTC, C $78,124.0) closed below the dPOC/VWAP/D-Open cluster, so no 15-minute close through or rejection at a tradeable level has printed. Price is also sitting mid-range between dVAL $78,108 and dHigh $78,446 with VWAP $78,234, D-Open $78,265 and dPOC $78,250 all bunched within $30 — a fair-value no-trade zone with tiny overnight volume (13.9 BTC on the current 15m) and conflicting flow (4h CVD confirming_down vs 5m delta +7.3 BTC, CCV long_bias vs a down daily close). No trigger, poor reaction quality, no clean location: pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:10 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable this tick, so no 15-minute candle can be named as a trigger — and TRIGGER FACTS shows nothing I can cite as a closed confirming candle at dVAL/VWAP/dLow. Only a long may be recorded on this book, but with price pinned mid-value between dVAL $78,152 and dPOC $78,250 (the no-trade zone at fair value), 5m delta flat, CVD confirming_down and OI weakening, there is no confirmed reaction to trade. Missing element: the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 01:00 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no valid long trigger. The 15m candle that just closed (00:30 UTC) closed DOWN through dVAL $78,192, VWAP $78,233 and dPOC $78,250 — a bearish close, not a long trigger; the "sweep" of the developing day low $78,099.1 is a 5m/1m event on near-zero volume (0.1–0.9 BTC), and the developing day low is a fresh intraday extreme minutes old, not a pre-existing stop-rich level, so it fails the sweep-reclaim location test. Reaction quality is poor as well: delta 5m flat (-1.3 BTC), 4h CVD confirming down, OI weakening on the day — no demand response at the level to corroborate a long.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:45 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, but there is no long trigger: the day is coiled in a $200 band around VWAP/dPOC/D-Open with the 15m 00:15 close merely oscillating inside developing value — no reclaim of a swept level, no with-trend close, and the daily/4h structure is lower highs off $79,711 with bearish CVD divergence contradicting a long. The VWAP level also already fired within the last 30 minutes, so I demand a fresh trigger before re-engaging it.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:35 UTC
PassedThe only permitted side here is a long (this book already holds an open short with T1 booked), but there is no long trigger: the named 15m candle (00:15–00:30 close $78,253.5) wicked ABOVE VWAP $78,257.2 / dPOC $78,257.5 / D-Open $78,265.6 and closed BELOW all three — that is a rejection pointing short, not a long confirmation. Price is pinned in a $60 chop band between dVAL $78,245 and dVAH $78,316 with sub-1 BTC candles, flat 5m delta and 4h CVD bearish divergence; that is the POC/mid-range chop the method says not to trade. No level-reaction long, no with-trend long structure (day is coming off a lower daily close), and no swept-and-reclaimed level below — so the trigger leg is missing entirely.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 00:30 UTC