PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no confirming 15-minute trigger for one: the last closed 15m candle (23:45 UTC) closed DOWN through dPOC/dVAH/dVWAP at $76,494.9, i.e. it rejects the long case rather than confirming it. The reclaim above dVAH $76,586.0 exists only on a 5m close (00:05 UTC) and the current 15m candle is still FORMING — a 5m close is never the named trigger. Corroboration is also mixed: 4h CVD is confirming_down, 5m delta is flat/negative, and price is in a fresh daily downtrend into pdL/pwL $76,389/$76,178.9, so a long here would be fading momentum into an unconfirmed reclaim.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:10 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and no long trigger has printed on the named 15-minute timeframe: the last closed 15m (23:45) closed DOWN through dPOC/dVAL/VWAP and the day open, and the only bullish evidence is a 5m reclaim of dPOC ($76,586.8) plus a 5m bullish delta divergence — a 1m/5m close is never the trigger. Structure is a clean downtrend (4h and daily closed down, 4h CVD confirming_down, fresh day/week lows at $76,389), so a long here fades momentum into the lows with no confirming 15m reclaim close.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:05 UTC
PassedNo price action / candle data is available at all this period, so there is no named 15-minute trigger candle I can cite — neither a reclaim close at pdL/pwL nor a with-trend close. Only a long may be recorded on this book, yet price is pinned at the day open ($76,494.9) and just above the pdL/wLow ($76,389), with CVD confirming down and OI flat — no confirmed reaction or reclaim to corroborate a long. Missing element: the trigger.View thesis →
Sep 11, 2026, 00:00 UTC
PassedOnly a long may be recorded on this book, and there is no clean long trigger. The "sweep" cited is of the developing day low — a fresh extreme made minutes ago, not a pre-existing, obvious stop-rich level, so it fails the sweep-reclaim location test; the 23:00 15m candle closed DOWN making the low, it is not a reclaim close back across a defined level. Flow contradicts a long anyway: CVD confirming_down, 5m delta -64.1 BTC into the low, price below daily VWAP $77,598.9 and below all developing value, with pwL $76,178.9 / pmL $76,178.9 still untested below.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 23:15 UTC
PassedNo price action is available this tick, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute closed trigger candle — and TRIGGER FACTS shows no confirming close to cite. Additionally, state shows an open long on this book, so only a short could be recorded, yet the CCV bias is long_bias with a bullish CVD divergence and flat 5m delta into dVAL/pmVAL support ($77,204/$77,109) — a short here would be fading momentum into support against the bias with no corroboration. Missing element: the confirming trigger (and corroboration for the only permitted direction).View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 21:30 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 15m candle drifting $20 below dVAL ($77,208) on 4 BTC of volume in a dead late-session tape — that is a poor reaction, not a rejection: no delta response (Δ 5m flat, -2.9 BTC), flat OI, and volume near zero. Corroboration also contradicts a short: CCV bias is long_bias, 4h CVD is confirming_up, and price is sitting right on the developing VAL / just under VWAP after a flush to $76,604 — i.e. into support, where fading momentum is forbidden. With only a short permitted on this book (open long already), there is no clean, corroborated short setup.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 21:15 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded (an open long already sits on this book), but the 15m trigger at dVAL $77,208 is a bullish rejection (wick below, close ABOVE at $77,237.3) — there is no confirming 15m close BELOW dVAL to trigger a short, and the CCV bias reads long_bias with CVD confirming_up, so a short is contradicted by the corroborating signals. This dev_val level was also already attempted within the last 30 minutes, which demands a fresh trigger I do not have. No trade.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 20:50 UTC
PassedThis book already holds an open long, so only a short may be recorded — and there is no short setup here: the only trigger is a bullish 15m reclaim of the developing VAL ($77,208), a LONG-side signal, and the corroborating context (CCV long_bias armed, CVD confirming_up, OI healthy_uptrend, funding neutral +0.010%) all points up, contradicting any short. Volume into the level is negligible (sub-1 BTC 1m prints, Delta 5m flat +3.9 BTC), a poor reaction that is itself sufficient to stand aside.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 20:30 UTC
PassedThe only "trigger" here is a 15m candle that poked $77,230.7 and closed at $77,190.1 — a $20 wobble either side of dVAL $77,210, on 3.4 BTC of volume: a non-event, not a rejection with any reaction quality (no delta response, OI flat, dead late-Sunday-style volume). Direction is also wrong for the book: I may only record a short here, yet CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance armed and 4h CVD confirming_up, and price is sitting on developing VAL just above the day low $76,603.8 / pwVAL $76,970 — shorting into that cluster of support is fading momentum into a strong level, which is forbidden. No clean setup: corroboration and reaction quality both missing.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 19:45 UTC
PassedOnly a short may be recorded on this book, and there is no clean short trigger: the 18:45 15m candle merely wicked $77,240 and closed $77,195.6 just under the developing dVAL ($77,220) — a marginal in-range chop close, not a rejection with a defined stop, and price has spent the last two hours grinding sideways above the 76,603.8 flush low. Corroboration also contradicts a short: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed, CVD shows a bullish divergence, Delta 5m is flat (no seller response into the level), and the nearest support cluster (dLow 76,603.8 / pwVAL 76,970 / mVAL 77,109) sits immediately below — shorting into that is the forbidden fade into support. Passing on missing trigger quality plus conflicting signals.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 19:00 UTC
PassedNo valid 15-minute trigger: the gate fired on a 5m wick/close at dVAL $77,222, and the last closed 15m (18:30, O 77,009.7 C 77,095.5) contains no scanned level — a 5m close can only corroborate, never be the named trigger. A short here would also be counter to the snapshot's long_bias/CCV armed and the bullish CVD divergence, and price is sitting just above the freshly flushed day low $76,603.8, which forbids fading momentum into support. STATE also shows an open long on this book, so only a short could be recorded — and no confirmed short trigger exists.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 18:55 UTC
PassedThe 18:00 15m candle did close below pwVAL $76,970 and dVAL $77,226, which is a genuine bearish level-loss trigger — but there has been no retest: price is at $76,932, sitting at the extension below the trigger, not back at the broken level, and entering here is the chased trade. Corroboration is also mixed against a fresh short (CCV bias long_bias, armed; CVD bullish divergence; OI falling into the low = shorts covering, not trapped longs; price is only ~330 above the day/week low $76,603.8, i.e. into support rather than open space), so this is a decline rather than a wait.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 18:15 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on a 5m close below dVAL $77,230, but a 5m close is never a valid trigger on this book, and the named-TF facts confirm the last CLOSED 15m candle (17:45, C $77,262.1) contains no scanned level — so there is no confirming 15-minute close through or rejecting dVAL. Corroboration is also mixed for a short: CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance armed, 4h CVD is confirming_up and 5m delta is flat (-4.3 BTC) — a poor, low-volume reaction into the level rather than aggressive supply. No trigger plus contradicted direction = pass; I hold the existing long and wait for a 15m close.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 18:05 UTC
PassedThis book already has an OPEN long, so only a short may be recorded — and the only trigger present is a bullish one: the 17:15 15m candle closed back above dVAL $77,226 from below, a reclaim that points long, not short. Shorting here would also mean fading into the freshly flushed dLow $76,603.8 / pwVAL $76,970 support with CCV long_bias, CVD confirming_up and 5m delta positive against it. No short-side trigger, no corroboration — pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 17:30 UTC
PassedThe 16:00 15m candle did close below pwVAL $76,970 (a Tier-1 breakdown trigger), but this is a close THROUGH the level with no retest — price sits at $76,915, below the level, and entering here is the extension, not the retest of $76,970. Beyond the missing retest, the location is poor for a fresh short: price is only ~$310 above the day/week low $76,603.8 and just above pmVAL/liquidity, and the CCV bias reads long_bias with acceptance armed, so a breakdown short here fades momentum into a freshly flushed low against the stated bias — corroboration is missing, not just the retest.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 16:15 UTC
PassedThe pwVAL break at $76,970 is only a 5m close — no 15m candle has CLOSED below it (the 15:45 15m closed UP at $77,190 above the level, and the 16:00 15m is still FORMING), so the required named-timeframe trigger is missing. Beyond that, a fresh break with no retest offers no valid entry (current price $76,855 is the extension, not the retest), and the CCV bias reads long_bias against a short here, so a break-and-go short lacks corroboration.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 16:10 UTC
PassedThe gate fired on pwVAL $76,970 but the NAMED 15m trigger contradicts a long: the 13:30 15m candle wicked above pwVAL (high $77,029.1) and CLOSED BELOW it ($76,883.2) — a rejection back below the level, not a reclaim. Only a 5m/1m close is above pwVAL, and a 5m close can never be the named trigger. Corroboration is also mixed-to-bearish (CVD confirming_down, 5m delta bearish divergence, price below daily VWAP $77,773.9 and D-Open, one-time-framing lower on 15m/1H), while CCV bias reads long — so a short here would be counter-bias with no confirmed LTF structure change, and a long has no valid 15m reclaim close. No trigger = pass.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 13:50 UTC
PassedPrice action feed is unavailable and no TRIGGER FACTS candle is shown, so I cannot name a specific 15-minute close through or rejecting any level — the confirming trigger is missing. Price at $76,884 sits just under pwVAL $76,970 with CVD confirming down and a bearish 5m delta divergence, which conflicts with the stated CCV long bias, so the read is also uncorroborated. No trade without a named closed trigger.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 13:45 UTC
PassedThe candidate is pwVAL $76,970 — price flushed below it into $76,603.8 and is now poking back above, but the only reclaim close is a 5m (13:35) and the last CLOSED 15m (13:15, C $76,865.1) is still BELOW pwVAL, so no named-timeframe trigger exists: a 5m close can only corroborate, never be the trigger. Reaction quality also argues against: CVD is confirming_down, 5m taker delta is -71.7 BTC into the bounce (no buy-side response), OI is flat, so the reclaim is unbacked. Continuation short is likewise blocked — price sits at a freshly flushed low/pwVAL support, where only the reaction entry is allowed.View thesis →
Sep 10, 2026, 13:40 UTC