← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Sep 15, 2026 · 07:00 UTCResolved Sep 15, 2026 · 07:50 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$77,216.4
T1 · 20%$77,507.7
T2 · 25%$77,920.3
STOP (original)$76,930.0
T3 · 20%$78,454.5
Runner · 35%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-1.85%
P&L-$185.45
P&L (BTC)-0.00241 BTC
Exit$76,930.0
Price moved-0.37%
Deepest adverse$76,923.7 (-0.38%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$64,616.2

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: the swept level is the settled pwPOC $77,139.5 — a Tier-1 previous-week point of control — stacked with dVAL $77,142.0 and the developing day low $77,111.0, an obvious stop-rich cluster. Trigger: the 15-minute candle closing 07:00 UTC (O 77,366.2 H 77,380.0 L 77,111.0 C 77,223.4) wicked BELOW pwPOC/dVAL/dLow and CLOSED back above all three — a textbook sweep-reclaim/SFP reclaim close, corroborated by the 06:55 5m close back up and the 06:59 1m reclaim of dPOC $77,200.5. Corroboration: CCV not in play so no counter-bias veto; funding is flat/neutral (+0.0006%), open interest is falling into the lows (weakening downtrend, -2.58% on 4h) which per the method reads as sellers losing interest/shorts covering into the flush rather than aggressive new shorts, and the 06:45 flush arrived on the day's heaviest low-side volume into a Tier-1 level. Entry at the reclaim close (77,216.4), stop 76,930 — ~0.37% below, giving the sweep wick at 77,111 real room per the buffer rule; invalidation is acceptance back below the weekly POC cluster. T1 = daily VWAP $77,507.7 (nearest meaningful structure, bank early as the method demands on a reclaim); T2 = pdEQ $77,920.3, the main Tier-1 objective and the mid of yesterday's range; T3 = pdPOC / D-nPOC above at $78,454.5. Risk to stop = $286; reward to T2 = $704 — 2.46:1, clearing the 2:1 floor honestly.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 15, 2026 · 07:00 UTC