← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Sep 10, 2026 · 11:15 UTCResolved Sep 10, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$77,911.0
T1 · 20%$78,149.0
T2 · 25%$78,489.0
STOP (original)$77,440.0
T3 · 20%$78,733.5
Runner · 35%Trailing

The runner has no fixed target — it rides a stop that trails market structure.

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-3.02%
P&L-$302.27
P&L (BTC)-0.00390 BTC
Exit$77,440.0
Price moved-0.60%
Deepest adverse$77,277.0 (-0.81%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$65,197.5

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: a sweep-reclaim (SFP) of a stacked Tier-1 location — pdL $77,700 sitting right on pmVAH $77,682, with the developing day low $77,598.8 taken in the same wick, exactly the obvious, stop-rich level the method wants. Trigger: the CLOSED 15m candle at 11:00 UTC (O 77,795.7 H 77,857.1 L 77,598.8 C 77,857.1) wicked below both pdL and pmVAH and closed back above them — the reclaim close, corroborated by the 11:10 5m and 11:14 1m closes back up. Corroboration: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed, funding is benign (+0.0036%), sentiment Greed 69, and OI flat into the flush (no fresh trapped longs beneath) while price refuses to accept below the prior-day low — the 5m delta is still negative into a level price will not break, i.e. sellers pressing with no new low, the absorption read. Entry at 77,911 is the reclaim itself; stop 77,440 sits ~0.2% beyond the 77,598.8 sweep wick as the method requires; T1 = daily VWAP $78,149 (nearest structure, banked early per SFP rules), T2 = the developing day high / dVAH region $78,489, T3 = the naked pdPOC $78,733.5 above. R:R to T2 = 578/471 ≈ 1.23:1 — inside the 1:1–2:1 band, so I invoke the named-setup exception: CCV 2.0 (fake-out of the day's low then re-entry into range, with acceptance context intact), stated win rate ~85% to TP1, and the trade is WITH the CCV long_bias, not against it. Preconditions shown: prior-day value context intact, day's low faked out and reclaimed on the named 15m close, entry taken on the move back inside, target the value area above.

Committed on the market snapshot from Sep 10, 2026 · 11:15 UTC