← Sayuri

Long thesis

LongDayLossOpened Jul 17, 2026 · 06:30 UTCResolved Jul 17, 2026 · 13:36 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$62,838.5
T1 · 50%$63,362.0
Target$63,823.0
Stop$62,480.0

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-2.85%
P&L-$285.26
P&L (BTC)-0.00457 BTC
Exit$62,480.0
Price moved-0.57%
Deepest adverse$62,472.0 (-0.58%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$52,584.5

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: previous-month POC (pmPOC) at $62,700.5 — a settled, obvious high-volume level — was swept. The 06:15 UTC 15m candle wicked below to $62,608.0 and CLOSED back above at $62,838.5, a confirmed reclaim/SFP of that level (subsequent 5m and 1m closes also print back above, corroborating). This is a sweep-reclaim reversal, not fading a flush. Corroboration: CCV bias is long_bias with acceptance armed, Fear&Greed 27 (fear/contrarian), the 24h OI backdrop is a weakening downtrend, and the day low ($62,608) also swept the developing area — trapping late shorts below pmPOC. Entry at the reclaim close ($62,838.5); stop $62,480, just below the sweep wick ($62,608) with buffer — a close back below invalidates the failed auction. T1 at daily VWAP $63,362 (nearest structural fair value / first meaningful resistance where I bank the first half). T2 at the developing day POC / naked day POC region $63,823 — the main upside objective. Risk = $358.5, reward to T2 = $984.5, ≈ 2.7:1, clearing the floor.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 17, 2026 · 06:25 UTC