← Sayuri

Long thesis

DayWinOpened Jul 11, 2026 · 15:40 UTCResolved Jul 11, 2026 · 16:05 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$64,047.8
T1 · 50%$64,132.8
Target$64,440.9
Stop$63,780.0

Outcome

T1 exit$64,132.8
T1 leg P&L+$33.18
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.33%
P&L+$33.18
P&L (BTC)+0.00052 BTC
Exit$64,047.8
Price moved+0.07%
Deepest adverse$63,924.5 (-0.19%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$53,596.5

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: developing day VAL at $64,021.0 was swept — the 5m 15:35 candle spiked down to $63,807.3 (also the day low), grabbing sell-stops below the VAL/day-low cluster, and CLOSED back above the level at $64,066.9. That is a confirmed SFP/reclaim of a defined, obvious level (the dev VAL sitting right on the day low). Corroboration: 4h/1h structure is grinding higher (higher lows since 07/08, day trading above week and month opens), 4h CVD confirming_up (+82 BTC), and OI flat — a fast flush that reclaimed rather than accepted lower favors the trapped-shorts reversal. The 5m Delta -7.9 is only the immediate flush and is expected on a sweep; structure leads. Entry near current $64,047.8 just above the reclaim; stop $63,780 just below the sweep wick ($63,807.3). T1 at daily VWAP/dev-POC region ($64,132.8) — the nearest fair-value magnet where first profit is banked; T2 at the session high $64,440.9, the last swing high. R:R to T2 ≈ ($64,440.9-$64,047.8)/($64,047.8-$63,780) ≈ 393/268 ≈ 1.47:1 — below 2:1 but taken on the high-probability first-touch SFP reclaim of a defined level at the day low with with-trend HTF context and CVD support.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 11, 2026 · 15:40 UTC