← Sayuri

Long thesis

DayLossOpened Jul 8, 2026 · 03:00 UTCResolved Jul 8, 2026 · 06:21 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$62,916.3
Target$63,314.5
Stop$62,410.0

Outcome

ResultLoss · Stopped out
Return on margin-4.02%
P&L-$402.36
P&L (BTC)-0.00645 BTC
Exit$62,410.0
Price moved-0.80%
Deepest adverse$62,397.0 (-0.83%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$52,649.6

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Structure: the 1H down candle (02:00 UTC close) wicked to $62,449.3 — sweeping the developing day low ($62,449.3) and dipping under the day VAL ($62,697.0) — then closed back at $62,904.7, above the VAL. This is a swing-failure/failed-auction reclaim of the day's low and value-area-low edge, an obvious stop-rich level. Trigger: the reclaim is confirmed by the 5m close at 02:55 ($62,904.7, closed up) and the subsequent 15m holding back above VAL/POC; price is sitting right on the developing day POC ($62,853.5) and daily VWAP ($62,890.1), so buyers reclaimed fair value. Corroboration: 4h CVD shows bullish_divergence, funding is only mildly positive (+0.0091%, no crowded longs to flush), OI is falling into the low (weakening downtrend / short-covering context, not aggressive new shorts), and Extreme Fear (20) favors a bounce off a swept low. Entry near current price on the reclaim, stop just below the sweep wick at $62,410 (invalidation = auction did not fail), first target the developing week POC / prior-day POC cluster near $63,314. The bearish 5m delta divergence is minor and does not veto a structurally clean reclaim.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 8, 2026 · 02:55 UTC