PassedThe 2026-07-13 00:30 UTC 30-minute candle did sweep and reclaim the developing weekly VAL at $63,716, but that in-flight level is not a pre-existing, stop-rich HTF boundary, so the required sweep-reclaim location quality is missing. Using the honest wick invalidation below $63,488 and the next major objective at the prior-week high/monthly-VAH zone near $64,647 gives only about 1.1–1.6:1 to T2 depending on entry, below the 2:1 floor without a confirmed high-probability CCV acceptance setup.View thesis →
Jul 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC
PassedThe developing monthly VAH at $63,868 did produce a valid 30-minute rejection trigger: the 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC candle opened above it at $63,897.8 and closed below at $63,762.7. However, corroboration is conflicted—CVD confirms down and positive funding mildly favors a short, but the CCV remains long-biased, Fear & Greed is at 26, OI is declining rather than building into resistance, and the 4H/weekly structure is balanced rather than a clean downtrend—so no clean swing short is justified.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 09:30 UTC
PassedThe 06:30 UTC 30-minute candle did reclaim the developing weekly VAH at $63,647, so a level and trigger exist, but independent directional corroboration is missing: CCV is long-biased while CVD confirms down, price remains below the $63,744 day open and $63,850 daily VWAP, and 4-hour/weekly structure is balanced rather than clearly bullish. With weakening 4-hour OI and the reclaim still below the prior-day low at $63,750, the signals conflict, so this is not a clean swing entry.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 07:00 UTC
PassedThe higher-timeframe level and trigger are present: the 2026-07-12 02:00 UTC 30-minute candle swept below the $64,000 monthly six-candle VAL and closed back above it at $64,047.8. However, broader corroboration is conflicted—CCV has a long bias, while CVD is confirming down, funding is positive, and 4-hour OI is weakening—so criterion (c) is missing and the reclaim is not a clean swing entry.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 02:30 UTC
PassedThe 2026-07-12 01:30 UTC 30-minute candle did trigger a reclaim of the prior-week high at $63,923.4, but broader corroboration is conflicted: CCV is long-biased while CVD confirms down, with flat OI and positive funding offering no added long confirmation. Using an honest swing invalidation below the $63,628.5 pullback low and the next major objective around the $64,599-$64,647 monthly/weekly resistance zone gives only about 1.2-1.3:1 to T2, below the 2:1 floor without a qualifying high-probability exception.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 02:00 UTC
PassedThe 2026-07-12 01:00 UTC 30-minute candle did close above developing mVAH $63,852, but it simultaneously swept the settled prior-week high $63,923.4 and closed back below it, creating an opposing bearish SFP. Directional corroboration is therefore missing: CCV is long-biased while CVD confirms down and positive funding leans against the reclaim long, so neither direction has the required clean, non-conflicting confluence.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 01:30 UTC
PassedPASS: no machine-verified TRIGGER FACTS block or 30-minute candle data is provided, so no specific CLOSED 30-minute confirmation can be named. Higher-timeframe candidates are nearby (previous-day low $63,750, developing weekly VAH $63,603, and monthly VAH $63,854), but proximity without an authoritative level-reaction, continuation, or sweep-reclaim close is not a trade.View thesis →
Jul 12, 2026, 24:00 UTC
PassedThe 2026-07-11 23:00 UTC 30-minute candle did trigger a bullish sweep-reclaim of the developing monthly VAH at $63,850, but broader corroboration is missing: CVD confirms down, funding is positive, OI is flat, and 4H/weekly structure is balanced rather than clearly bullish. The level is also developing rather than settled, so the marginal $2.80 close above it is insufficient for a multi-day long without stronger independent confirmation.View thesis →
Jul 11, 2026, 23:30 UTC