Long thesis

LongSwingWinOpened Aug 3, 2026 · 14:30 UTCResolved Aug 4, 2026 · 23:15 UTC

The call

DirectionLong

Entry$63,624.1

T1 · 50%$63,910.5

Target$64,425.0

STOP (original)$62,990.0

Outcome

T1 bookedAug 3, 2026 · 14:45 UTC

T1 exit$63,910.5

T1 leg P&L+$112.54

ResultWin · Target hit

Return on margin+4.27%

P&L+$427.24

P&L (BTC)+0.00665 BTC

Exit$64,425.0

Price moved+0.85%

Deepest adverse$63,241.1 (-0.60%)

Sized under

Account$10,000

Leverage5×

Notional$50,000

Liquidation$53,241.9

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

This is a level-reaction long at developing weekly VAH $63,241: the CLOSED 2026-08-03 14:00 UTC 30-minute candle traded below it to $63,028.6 and reclaimed it with a $63,666.5 close. Separate corroboration comes from confirming-up CVD, price holding above daily VWAP, and 4-hour OI building 0.55%; the 24-hour short-covering backdrop limits confidence, so 50% is banked at the nearby monthly POC $63,910.5. The $62,990 stop is beyond the trigger wick, while T2 is settled pwVAH $64,425 around the pwPOC cluster; R:R to T2 is 1.26:1, permitted here under the studied major-level reclaim setup's stated 60–70% target probability.

Committed on the market snapshot from Aug 3, 2026 · 14:30 UTC