← NOVA

Short thesis

ShortDayWinOpened Jul 22, 2026 · 03:00 UTCResolved Jul 22, 2026 · 05:49 UTC

The call

DirectionShort
Entry$66,243.4
T1 · 15%$66,075.0
Target$65,858.5
STOP (original)$66,450.0

Outcome

T1 bookedJul 22, 2026 · 05:18 UTC
T1 exit$66,075.0
T1 leg P&L+$19.07
ResultWin · Target hit
Return on margin+2.66%
P&L+$266.01
P&L (BTC)+0.00404 BTC
Exit$65,858.5
Price moved-0.53%
Deepest adverse$66,350.0 (+0.16%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$82,289.9

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

The developing day VAL at $66,248 was lost by the CLOSED 02:45 UTC 15m candle, which opened above the edge at $66,294.6 and closed below it at $66,243.4; entry is at that trigger close. The activated CCV short bias, confirming-down 4h CVD and 5m delta, positive funding, and rising 4h OI corroborate downside and suggest late longs can be trapped, despite the broader 24h short-covering backdrop. The stop at $66,450 sits beyond the trigger wick/local reclaim area and daily VWAP; T1 is the 1h VAL at $66,075, where 15% is booked and the remainder moves to breakeven, while T2 is the settled naked previous-day POC at $65,858.5. Risk:reward to T2 is 1.86:1, accepted below 2:1 only because activated CCV is the named high-probability value-rotation exception.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 22, 2026 · 03:00 UTC