← NOVA

Long thesis

LongDayWinOpened Jul 20, 2026 · 02:00 UTCResolved Jul 20, 2026 · 02:20 UTC

The call

DirectionLong
Entry$64,551.9
T1 · 15%$64,637.5
Target$65,028.0
STOP (original)$64,285.0

Outcome

T1 bookedJul 20, 2026 · 02:01 UTC
T1 exit$64,637.5
T1 leg P&L+$9.95
ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)
Return on margin+0.10%
P&L+$9.95
P&L (BTC)+0.00015 BTC
Exit$64,551.9
Price moved+0.02%
Deepest adverse$64,507.3 (-0.07%)

Sized under

Account$10,000
Leverage
Notional$50,000
Liquidation$54,018.3

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

This is a sweep-reclaim of the settled previous-day VAL at $64,453: the closed 01:55 UTC 5m candle opened below the level, wicked to $64,419.9, and closed back above it at $64,546.6. The reclaim is corroborated by 4h CVD confirming up; flat 5m delta does not oppose it, while declining OI/short covering weakens but does not invalidate the reaction and +0.0100% funding is not extreme. Entry is just above the reclaim close, with the stop about 0.2% beyond the sweep wick; T1 is the settled pdPOC at $64,637.5 and T2 is the developing day/week VAH at $65,028. Risk:reward to T2 is 1.78:1, accepted below 2:1 because the high-probability reason is a confirmed sweep-reclaim at a settled value-area edge with aligned CVD; book 15% at T1 and move the remainder to breakeven.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 20, 2026 · 02:00 UTC