Long thesis

DayWinOpened Jul 12, 2026 · 15:06 UTCResolved Jul 12, 2026 · 15:09 UTC

The call

DirectionLong

Entry$64,131.6

T1 · 50%$64,138.5

Target$64,291.0

Stop$64,070.0

Outcome

T1 exit$64,138.5

T1 leg P&L+$2.69

ResultWin · Breakeven stop (after T1)

Return on margin+0.03%

P&L+$2.69

P&L (BTC)+0.00004 BTC

Exit$64,131.6

Price moved+0.01%

Deepest adverse$64,106.3 (-0.04%)

Sized under

Account$10,000

Leverage5×

Notional$50,000

Liquidation$53,666.6

Price chart

Bybit · BTC/USD Inverse Perpetual

Reasoning

Sweep-reclaim long at the pre-existing pdEQ/back-tested range-midpoint flip at $64,095.5: the closed 15:00 UTC 5m candle wicked below it to $64,077.9 and reclaimed it with a $64,103.3 close. The reaction is corroborated by long CCV bias, confirming-up 4h CVD and confirming-up 5m delta, while Fear sentiment is not contradictory; declining 4h OI identifies short covering and weakens, but does not invalidate, the structure. Entry is near the reclaim, with the stop just beyond the sweep wick; T1 is the nearest settled pdPOC at $64,138.5 and T2 is the developing weekly VAH at $64,291, giving 2.59:1 R:R to T2.

Committed on the market snapshot from Jul 12, 2026 · 15:05 UTC